Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bolton v Bristol City: 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Toughsheet Community Stadium (Horwich), with Bobby Madley refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Bolton vs Bristol City: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Bolton are 17th in the table, on 17 points after 14 matches (5W 2D 7L), and Bristol City are 15th, on 18 points (5W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. On average Bolton score 1.3 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.9; for Bristol City the figures are 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Bolton: 4W 2D 6L, goals 16–23; Bristol City: 4W 3D 5L, goals 12–15.
- Head to head. From 10 meetings: 3 wins for Bolton, 5 wins for Bristol City and 2 draws, with the goals at 12–20.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.2%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and we rate it at 57%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 57% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 52% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 10; Bolton 3 wins, 2 draws, Bristol City 5 wins.
- An average of 3.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Bolton 16–23, Bristol City 12–15.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 52%.
- Out: Bolton 5, Bristol City 4.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 57%, best price 1.67). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Bolton: E. Erhahon, R. Hardie, J. McAtee, J. Nelson, C. Forino-Joseph. Absent for Bristol City: N. Eile, E. Adebayo, R. Dickie, L. Tolaj. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Bolton vs Bristol City: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.05 | 3.52 | 2.40 |
| Market average | 2.94 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
| Lowest odds | 2.64 | 3.08 | 2.23 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.24 | 75.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.80 | 52.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.99 | 47.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.15 | 2.96 | 31.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.63 | 57.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.17 | 42.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 13:40. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Bolton 1–1 Bristol City, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Bolton 17th (17 points), Bristol City 15th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Bolton 4W 2D 6L (16:23), Bristol City 4W 3D 5L (12:15).
- H2H: 10 matches: Bolton 3W 2D 5L, goals 12–20.
- Absences: Bolton 5, Bristol City 4.
Who will win Bolton vs Bristol City?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Bolton vs Bristol City: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Bolton vs Bristol City: team news and absences
Bolton
- E. Erhahonthigh injury · will miss the match
- R. Hardiehamstring injury · will miss the match
- J. McAteeknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Nelsonnot in the squad · will miss the match
- C. Forino-Josephgroin injury · doubtful
Bristol City
- N. Eileillness · will miss the match
- E. Adebayonot in the squad · doubtful
- R. Dickieknee injury · doubtful
- L. Tolajabsence · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 | Bolton | 14 | 5-2-7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 14 | 1-4-9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Bolton
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
BoltonWLLDWBristol CityLWDLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Bolton vs Bristol City?
Bolton or draw (1X) (1.67); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win Bolton vs Bristol City?
We estimate: Bolton win 32%, draw 28%, Bristol City win 41%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: Toughsheet Community Stadium, Horwich. Referee: Bobby Madley.
Who will be missing?
Bolton: E. Erhahon, R. Hardie, J. McAtee, J. Nelson, C. Forino-Joseph. Bristol City: N. Eile, E. Adebayo, R. Dickie, L. Tolaj. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.87); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 48% (odds 2.04).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 57% (odds 1.67).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.2%), then 0–1 (9.7%) and 1–2 (8.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.