Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Dunkerque play Metz at home on 23 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkirk); the referee is Mickaël Leleu, France. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Dunkerque vs Metz: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Dunkerque are 12th in the table, on 12 points after 11 matches (3W 3D 5L), and Metz are 10th, on 14 points (3W 5D 3L).
- Head to head. From 5 meetings: 0 wins for Dunkerque, 4 wins for Metz and 1 draw, with the goals at 5–11.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–2 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 62% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 58% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 5; Dunkerque 0 wins, 1 draw, Metz 4 wins.
- An average of 3.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 58%.
- Out: Dunkerque 0, Metz 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 62%, best price 1.53). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Dunkerque: no absences. Absent for Metz: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Dunkerque vs Metz: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.83 | 3.63 | 2.46 |
| Market average | 2.78 | 3.55 | 2.31 |
| Lowest odds | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.17 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.71 | 1.62 | 57.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.24 | 42.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.79 | 2.52 | 36.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.50 | 61.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.42 | 38.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 23/10/26, 17:15. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Dunkerque 1–1 Metz, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Dunkerque 12th (12 points), Metz 10th (14 points).
- H2H: 5 matches: Dunkerque 0W 1D 4L, goals 5–11.
- Absences: Dunkerque 0, Metz 0.
Who will win Dunkerque vs Metz?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Dunkerque vs Metz: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Dunkerque vs Metz: team news and absences
Dunkerque
- No reported absences
Metz
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Montpellier | 11 | 7-3-1 | 16:6 | 24 |
| 3 |  Nancy | 11 | 7-1-3 | 16:9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Reims | 11 | 5-6-0 | 22:12 | 21 |
| 5 |  PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 6 |  RED Star FC 93 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:16 | 17 |
| 7 |  Annecy | 11 | 5-1-5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 8 |  Dijon | 11 | 4-3-4 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 9 |  Guingamp | 11 | 4-2-5 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Metz | 11 | 3-5-3 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 11 |  Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 12 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3-3-5 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sochaux | 11 | 2-5-4 | 8:14 | 11 |
| 14 |  Boulogne | 11 | 1-7-3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 15 |  Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 16 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 18 |  Grenoble | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:20 | 8 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Dunkerque vs Metz?
Metz +0 (Asian handicap) (1.81); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win Dunkerque vs Metz?
We estimate: Dunkerque win 33%, draw 26%, Metz win 40%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 23 October 2026, kick-off: 19:00, venue: Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkirk. Referee: Mickaël Leleu, France.
Who will be missing?
Dunkerque: no absences. Metz: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.71); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.27).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 62% (odds 1.53).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.4%), then 1–2 (8.8%) and 0–1 (8.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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