Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Rodez play Dunkerque at home on 30 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stade Paul Lignon (Rodez); the referee is Eddy Rosier. For us, Rodez (47%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Rodez vs Dunkerque: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Rodez are 11th in the table, on 13 points after 11 matches (4W 1D 6L), and Dunkerque are 12th, on 12 points (3W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. On average Rodez score 1.6 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.2; for Dunkerque the figures are 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Rodez: 3W 1D 6L, goals 16–22; Dunkerque: 3W 3D 4L, goals 14–16.
- Head to head. From 15 meetings: 7 wins for Rodez, 2 wins for Dunkerque and 6 draws, with the goals at 23–13.
What to expect
For us, Rodez are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.52), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 62% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 60% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 15; Rodez 7 wins, 6 draws, Dunkerque 2 wins.
- An average of 2.4 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Rodez 16–22, Dunkerque 14–16.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 60%.
- Out: Rodez 0, Dunkerque 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 62%, best price 1.52). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Rodez: no absences. Absent for Dunkerque: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Rodez vs Dunkerque: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.06 | 3.80 | 3.61 |
| Market average | 1.98 | 3.63 | 3.34 |
| Lowest odds | 1.90 | 3.24 | 2.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.15 | 80.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.56 | 59.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.30 | 40.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.53 | 2.42 | 38.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.52 | 1.49 | 62.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.45 | 37.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 30/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Rodez 1–1 Dunkerque, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Rodez 11th (13 points), Dunkerque 12th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Rodez 3W 1D 6L (16:22), Dunkerque 3W 3D 4L (14:16).
- H2H: 15 matches: Rodez 7W 6D 2L, goals 23–13.
- Absences: Rodez 0, Dunkerque 0.
Who will win Rodez vs Dunkerque?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Rodez vs Dunkerque: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Rodez vs Dunkerque: team news and absences
Rodez
- No reported absences
Dunkerque
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Montpellier | 11 | 7-3-1 | 16:6 | 24 |
| 3 |  Nancy | 11 | 7-1-3 | 16:9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Reims | 11 | 5-6-0 | 22:12 | 21 |
| 5 |  PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 6 |  RED Star FC 93 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:16 | 17 |
| 7 |  Annecy | 11 | 5-1-5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 8 |  Dijon | 11 | 4-3-4 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 9 |  Guingamp | 11 | 4-2-5 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 10 |  Metz | 11 | 3-5-3 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 11 | Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 12 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3-3-5 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sochaux | 11 | 2-5-4 | 8:14 | 11 |
| 14 |  Boulogne | 11 | 1-7-3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 15 |  Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 16 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 18 |  Grenoble | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
Rodez
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
RodezWWLLLDunkerqueLDWLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Rodez vs Dunkerque?
Rodez -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Both teams to score (1.52).
Who will win Rodez vs Dunkerque?
We estimate: Rodez win 47%, draw 25%, Dunkerque win 28%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 30 October 2026, kick-off: 19:00, venue: Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez. Referee: Eddy Rosier.
Who will be missing?
Rodez: no absences. Dunkerque: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.62); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 40% (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 62% (odds 1.52).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.8%), then 2–1 (9.4%) and 1–0 (8.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.