Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is FC Porto against Estoril on 31 October 2026 · 20:30 at Estádio do Dragão (Porto), and Miguel Bertolo Nogueira will referee. FC Porto (80%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
FC Porto vs Estoril: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. FC Porto are 1st in the table, on 30 points after 10 matches (10W 0D 0L), and Estoril are 18th, on 2 points (0W 2D 8L).
- Attack and defence. On average FC Porto score 2.3 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.4; for Estoril the figures are 0.6 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. FC Porto: 9W 0D 0L, goals 21–4; Estoril: 0W 2D 7L, goals 5–15.
- Head to head. From 25 meetings: 18 wins for FC Porto, 4 wins for Estoril and 3 draws, with the goals at 56–21.
What to expect
For us, FC Porto are the more likely winners. We estimate a 3–1 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 2–0 (13.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
Odds of 1.21 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.67), which we rate at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 41% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 62% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 25; FC Porto 18 wins, 3 draws, Estoril 4 wins.
- An average of 3.1 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: FC Porto 21–4, Estoril 5–15.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 62%.
- Out: FC Porto 0, Estoril 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – no
Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 59%, best price 1.65). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for FC Porto: no absences. Absent for Estoril: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
FC Porto vs Estoril: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.21 | 8.05 | 18.00 |
| Market average | 1.17 | 7.11 | 15.03 |
| Lowest odds | 1.14 | 5.32 | 9.64 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.14 | 82.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.51 | 62.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.73 | 2.50 | 37.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.23 | 42.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.50 | 2.31 | 40.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.65 | 1.57 | 59.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 14:10. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: FC Porto 2–0 Estoril, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: FC Porto 1st (30 points), Estoril 18th (2 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Porto 9W 0D 0L (21:4), Estoril 0W 2D 7L (5:15).
- H2H: 25 matches: FC Porto 18W 3D 4L, goals 56–21.
- Absences: FC Porto 0, Estoril 0.
Who will win FC Porto vs Estoril?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
FC Porto vs Estoril: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
FC Porto vs Estoril: team news and absences
FC Porto
- No reported absences
Estoril
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 10 | 8-1-1 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 10 | 4-3-3 | 8:7 | 15 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicão | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
FC Porto
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
FC PortoWWWWWEstorilLLLLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for FC Porto vs Estoril?
FC Porto -1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.58); Over 2.5 goals (1.67).
Who will win FC Porto vs Estoril?
We estimate: FC Porto win 80%, draw 13%, Estoril win 6%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 20:30, venue: Estádio do Dragão, Porto. Referee: Miguel Bertolo Nogueira.
Who will be missing?
FC Porto: no absences. Estoril: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.67); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 38% (odds 2.73).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 41% (odds 2.50).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–0 as most likely (13.8%), then 3–0 (11.9%) and 1–0 (10.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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