Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
GIL Vicente v FC Porto: 24 October 2026 · 20:30 at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos (Barcelos), with L. M. Branco Godinho refereeing. We have FC Porto (65%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. GIL Vicente are 7th in the table, on 15 points after 10 matches (4W 3D 3L), and FC Porto are 1st, on 30 points (10W 0D 0L).
- Attack and defence. On average GIL Vicente score 1.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.8; for FC Porto the figures are 2.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. GIL Vicente: 4W 2D 2L, goals 8–6; FC Porto: 8W 0D 0L, goals 20–4.
- Head to head. From 26 meetings: 5 wins for GIL Vicente, 18 wins for FC Porto and 3 draws, with the goals at 19–49.
What to expect
For us, FC Porto are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 0–1 (13.1%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick BTTS: no (odds 1.73), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 46% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 50% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 26; GIL Vicente 5 wins, 3 draws, FC Porto 18 wins.
- An average of 2.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: GIL Vicente 8–6, FC Porto 20–4.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 50%.
- Out: GIL Vicente 0, FC Porto 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – no
Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 54%, best price 1.73). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for GIL Vicente: no absences. Absent for FC Porto: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 7.50 | 4.67 | 1.50 |
| Market average | 7.11 | 4.41 | 1.45 |
| Lowest odds | 6.50 | 4.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.27 | 73.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.88 | 50.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.91 | 49.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.34 | 3.21 | 29.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.06 | 2.04 | 45.5% |
| BTTS – no | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 18:02. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: GIL Vicente 0–1 FC Porto, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: GIL Vicente 7th (15 points), FC Porto 1st (30 points).
- Form in the competition: GIL Vicente 4W 2D 2L (8:6), FC Porto 8W 0D 0L (20:4).
- H2H: 26 matches: GIL Vicente 5W 3D 18L, goals 19–49.
- Absences: GIL Vicente 0, FC Porto 0.
Who will win GIL Vicente vs FC Porto?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto: team news and absences
GIL Vicente
- No reported absences
FC Porto
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 10 | 8-1-1 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 10 | 4-3-3 | 8:7 | 15 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicão | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
GIL Vicente
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
GIL VicenteDLWWDFC PortoWWWWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for GIL Vicente vs FC Porto?
GIL Vicente +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.67); BTTS: no (1.73).
Who will win GIL Vicente vs FC Porto?
We estimate: GIL Vicente win 13%, draw 21%, FC Porto win 65%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 20:30, venue: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos. Referee: L. M. Branco Godinho.
Who will be missing?
GIL Vicente: no absences. FC Porto: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.94); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 50% (odds 1.98).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 46% (odds 2.06).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 0–1 as most likely (13.1%), then 0–2 (12.8%) and 1–1 (9.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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