Bet with Freshbet →Feyenoord v Excelsior: 21 November 2026 · 17:45 at De Kuip (Rotterdam). We have Feyenoord (84%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Feyenoord vs Excelsior: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Feyenoord are 1st in the table, on 25 points after 11 matches (7W 4D 0L), and Excelsior are 15th, on 11 points (3W 2D 6L).
What to expect
For us, Feyenoord are the more likely winners. We estimate a 3–1 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 3–0 (10.0%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
Odds of 1.14 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.65), which we rate at 58%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 51% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 76% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 76%.
- Out: Feyenoord 0, Excelsior 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 51%, best price 1.85). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Feyenoord: no absences. Absent for Excelsior: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Feyenoord vs Excelsior: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.14 | 10.60 | 18.50 |
| Market average | 1.12 | 9.29 | 16.50 |
| Lowest odds | 1.11 | 8.75 | 15.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.08 | 1.05 | 89.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.23 | 76.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 4.20 | 3.97 | 23.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.62 | 58.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.82 | 51.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.90 | 48.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:20. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Feyenoord 3–0 Excelsior, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Feyenoord 1st (25 points), Excelsior 15th (11 points).
- Absences: Feyenoord 0, Excelsior 0.
Who will win Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Feyenoord vs Excelsior: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Feyenoord vs Excelsior: team news and absences
Feyenoord
- No reported absences
Excelsior
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
Over 3.5 goals (1.65); Feyenoord to win (1.14).
Who will win Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
We estimate: Feyenoord win 84%, draw 10%, Excelsior win 6%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 21 November 2026, kick-off: 17:45, venue: De Kuip, Rotterdam.
Who will be missing?
Feyenoord: no absences. Excelsior: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 76% (odds 1.26); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 24% (odds 4.20).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 51% (odds 1.85).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 3–0 as most likely (10.0%), then 2–0 (9.2%) and 4–0 (8.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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