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Allsvenskan · Matchweek 26 · 28 October 2026 · 18:00

Halmstad vs Malmö FF: prediction, tip and odds, 28 October 2026, Allsvenskan

0–3
1Halmstad4.75
XDraw4.38
2Malmö FF1.68

Best price · Updated 28/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Halmstad v Malmö FF: 28 October 2026 · 18:00 at Örjans Vall (Halmstad), with Kristoffer Karlsson refereeing. We have Malmö FF (57%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Halmstad vs Malmö FF: tip and prediction
Handicap
Malmö FF -0.75 (Asian handicap)
1.86
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.55
Combo
Malmö FF + over 2.5 goals combined
2.57
39% · fair odds for the combo
52%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Malmö FF (X2): 79% probability, best odds 1.18.

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Halmstad vs Malmö FF: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Halmstad are 16th in the table, on 17 points after 27 matches (4W 5D 18L), and Malmö FF are 7th, on 40 points (12W 4D 11L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average Halmstad score 0.7 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.8; for Malmö FF the figures are 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Halmstad: 4W 5D 16L, goals 18–46; Malmö FF: 11W 4D 10L, goals 38–34.
  4. Head to head. From 15 meetings: 0 wins for Halmstad, 13 wins for Malmö FF and 2 draws, with the goals at 5–40.

What to expect

For us, Malmö FF are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.2%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 58% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 59% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 15; Halmstad 0 wins, 2 draws, Malmö FF 13 wins.
  2. An average of 3.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Halmstad 18–46, Malmö FF 38–34.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 59%.
  5. Out: Halmstad 0, Malmö FF 7.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, best price 1.61). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Halmstad: no absences. Absent for Malmö FF: I. Assibu, K. Busuladzic, A. Hoog, P. Jansson, N. John, W. Kamanzi, O. Sjostrand. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Halmstad vs Malmö FF: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price4.754.381.68
Market average4.594.111.67
Lowest odds4.503.901.65
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.191.1780.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.611.5859.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.382.3040.7%
Over 3.5 goals2.512.4638.3%
BTTS – yes1.621.6157.5%
BTTS – no2.202.1842.5%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.2%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Halmstad 1–1 Malmö FF, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Halmstad 16th (17 points), Malmö FF 7th (40 points).
  • Form in the competition: Halmstad 4W 5D 16L (18:46), Malmö FF 11W 4D 10L (38:34).
  • H2H: 15 matches: Halmstad 0W 2D 13L, goals 5–40.
  • Absences: Halmstad 0, Malmö FF 7.

Who will win Halmstad vs Malmö FF?

Halmstad21%
Draw23%
Malmö FF57%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Halmstad vs Malmö FF: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals80.1% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.19
Likely
Draw or Malmö FF (X2)79.5% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.18
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.7% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.55
Likely
Over 2.5 goals59.3% · fair odds 1.69 · best 1.61
Possible
BTTS – yes57.5% · fair odds 1.74 · best 1.62
Possible
Malmö FF to win56.5% · fair odds 1.77 · best 1.68
Possible
BTTS – no42.5% · fair odds 2.35 · best 2.20
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals40.7% · fair odds 2.46 · best 2.38
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.3% · fair odds 2.61 · best 2.51
Outsider
Draw23.0% · fair odds 4.35 · best 4.38
Outsider
Halmstad to win20.5% · fair odds 4.87 · best 4.75
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.96 · Under 1.78
probability of over 47.6%

Correct score prediction

1 : 110.2%
1 : 29.9%
0 : 19.2%
0 : 29.0%
1 : 36.4%
0 : 35.9%

Halmstad vs Malmö FF: team news and absences

Halmstad

  • No reported absences

Malmö FF

  • I. Assibunot in the squad · will miss the match
  • K. Busuladzicinjury · will miss the match
  • A. Hoognot in the squad · will miss the match
  • P. Janssonknee injury · will miss the match
  • N. Johnnot in the squad · will miss the match
  • W. Kamanzimuscle injury · will miss the match
  • O. Sjostrandknee injury · will miss the match

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Sirius2718-4-558:3458
2Hammarby FF2717-4-656:2255
3Djurgårdens IF2716-4-755:2552
4BK Häcken2713-10-448:3049
5IF Elfsborg2712-10-541:2746
6Västerås SK FK2713-5-940:3844
7Malmö FF2712-4-1142:3640
8AIK Stockholm2710-8-943:4738
9IFK Göteborg2710-8-936:4638
10Gais2710-7-1034:2737
11IF Brommapojkarna279-7-1139:4434
12Mjällby AIF276-9-1230:4327
13Kalmar FF276-5-1623:4223
14Degerfors IF275-5-1722:4620
15Örgryte IS274-7-1633:6019
16Halmstad274-5-1818:5117

Recent matches

Halmstad

3 NovLSirius 2–0 Halmstad
28 OctLHalmstad 0–3 Malmö FF
23 OctWVästerås SK FK 1–2 Halmstad
18 OctLHalmstad 0–1 Hammarby FF
12 OctLIF Elfsborg 4–0 Halmstad

Malmö FF

1 NovLMalmö FF 1–2 Hammarby FF
28 OctWHalmstad 0–3 Malmö FF
23 OctDIF Elfsborg 0–0 Malmö FF
18 OctLMalmö FF 0–1 BK Häcken
12 OctWMalmö FF 1–0 Kalmar FF

Home and away

Halmstad at home13 matches: 3W 2D 8L, goals 9–22
Malmö FF away13 matches: 7W 3D 3L, goals 16–13

Team comparison

HalmstadMalmö FF
46%Form54%
50%Attack50%
31%Defence69%
0%Head to head100%
17%Goals83%
34.4%Overall65.6%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

HalmstadLLWLL
Malmö FFLWDLW

Head to head

All matches
0Halmstad
2Draws
13Malmö FF
28/10/26 · Halmstad 0–3 Malmö FF
30/5/26 · Malmö FF 5–2 Halmstad
8/3/26 · Malmö FF 2–1 Halmstad
16/8/25 · Halmstad 0–4 Malmö FF
18/5/25 · Malmö FF 3–0 Halmstad
10/8/24 · Halmstad 0–1 Malmö FF

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.2%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Halmstad vs Malmö FF?

Malmö FF -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.86); Under 3.5 goals (1.55).

Who will win Halmstad vs Malmö FF?

We estimate: Halmstad win 21%, draw 23%, Malmö FF win 57%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 28 October 2026, kick-off: 18:00, venue: Örjans Vall, Halmstad. Referee: Kristoffer Karlsson.

Who will be missing?

Halmstad: no absences. Malmö FF: I. Assibu, K. Busuladzic, A. Hoog, P. Jansson, N. John, W. Kamanzi, O. Sjostrand. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.61); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 41% (odds 2.38).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.62).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.2%), then 1–2 (9.9%) and 0–1 (9.2%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg 6 NovÖrgryte IS vs Västerås SK FK 7 NovDegerfors IF vs Gais 7 NovIFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF 8 NovHalmstad vs Djurgårdens IF 8 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.