Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Malmö FF v Hammarby FF: 1 November 2026 · 13:00 at Eleda Stadion (Malmö), with Mohammed Al-Hakim refereeing. We have Hammarby FF (59%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Malmö FF are 7th in the table, on 40 points after 27 matches (12W 4D 11L), and Hammarby FF are 2nd, on 55 points (17W 4D 6L).
- Attack and defence. On average Malmö FF score 1.6 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.3; for Hammarby FF the figures are 2.1 scored and 0.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Malmö FF: 12W 4D 10L, goals 41–34; Hammarby FF: 16W 4D 6L, goals 54–21.
- Head to head. From 23 meetings: 10 wins for Malmö FF, 7 wins for Hammarby FF and 6 draws, with the goals at 42–32.
What to expect
For us, Hammarby FF are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–2 (9.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 63% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 67% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 23; Malmö FF 10 wins, 6 draws, Hammarby FF 7 wins.
- An average of 3.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Malmö FF 41–34, Hammarby FF 54–21.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 67%.
- Out: Malmö FF 8, Hammarby FF 3.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 63%, best price 1.50). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Malmö FF: I. Assibu, K. Busuladzic, A. Hoog, P. Jansson, N. John, W. Kamanzi, T. Lundbergh, O. Sjostrand. Absent for Hammarby FF: A. Boudri, I. Fofana, B. Hedlof. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 5.16 | 4.60 | 1.64 |
| Market average | 4.80 | 4.29 | 1.58 |
| Lowest odds | 4.21 | 3.86 | 1.53 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.10 | 84.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.39 | 66.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.78 | 33.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.09 | 2.03 | 46.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.47 | 63.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.60 | 2.50 | 36.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 12:06. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.5%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Malmö FF 1–2 Hammarby FF, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Malmö FF 7th (40 points), Hammarby FF 2nd (55 points).
- Form in the competition: Malmö FF 12W 4D 10L (41:34), Hammarby FF 16W 4D 6L (54:21).
- H2H: 23 matches: Malmö FF 10W 6D 7L, goals 42–32.
- Absences: Malmö FF 8, Hammarby FF 3.
Who will win Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF: team news and absences
Malmö FF
- I. Assibunot in the squad · will miss the match
- K. Busuladzicinjury · will miss the match
- A. Hoognot in the squad · will miss the match
- P. Janssonknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Johnnot in the squad · will miss the match
- W. Kamanzimuscle injury · will miss the match
- T. Lundberghabsence · will miss the match
- O. Sjostrandknee injury · will miss the match
Hammarby FF
- A. Boudrinot in the squad · will miss the match
- I. Fofanared card · will miss the match
- B. Hedlofhip injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sirius | 27 | 18-4-5 | 58:34 | 58 |
| 2 | Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 27 | 4-5-18 | 18:51 | 17 |
Recent matches
Malmö FF
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Malmö FFLWDLWHammarby FFWWWWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF?
Hammarby FF -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF?
We estimate: Malmö FF win 19%, draw 22%, Hammarby FF win 59%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 1 November 2026, kick-off: 13:00, venue: Eleda Stadion, Malmö. Referee: Mohammed Al-Hakim.
Who will be missing?
Malmö FF: I. Assibu, K. Busuladzic, A. Hoog, P. Jansson, N. John, W. Kamanzi, T. Lundbergh, O. Sjostrand. Hammarby FF: A. Boudri, I. Fofana, B. Hedlof. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 67% (odds 1.44); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 33% (odds 2.88).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 63% (odds 1.50).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–2 as most likely (9.6%), then 1–1 (8.7%) and 0–2 (7.7%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.