Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Ham-Kam play Rosenborg at home on 24 October 2026 · 17:00 at Briskeby (Hamar); the referee is Stian Rovig Sletner. For us, Rosenborg (61%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Ham-Kam are 13th in the table, on 27 points after 25 matches (7W 6D 12L), and Rosenborg are 4th, on 43 points (13W 4D 8L).
- Attack and defence. On average Ham-Kam score 1.4 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.1; for Rosenborg the figures are 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Ham-Kam: 7W 5D 11L, goals 33–48; Rosenborg: 11W 4D 8L, goals 43–31.
- Head to head. From 11 meetings: 3 wins for Ham-Kam, 7 wins for Rosenborg and 1 draw, with the goals at 11–20.
What to expect
For us, Rosenborg are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–2 (9.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.48), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 64% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 11; Ham-Kam 3 wins, 1 draw, Rosenborg 7 wins.
- An average of 2.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Ham-Kam 33–48, Rosenborg 43–31.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 64%.
- Out: Ham-Kam 2, Rosenborg 3.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 60%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Ham-Kam: M. Johnsgard, B. Isufi. Absent for Rosenborg: J. Bakke, E. Slordal, H. Volden. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 5.83 | 4.72 | 1.57 |
| Market average | 5.26 | 4.49 | 1.53 |
| Lowest odds | 4.90 | 4.20 | 1.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.48 | 1.45 | 64.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.77 | 2.62 | 35.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.15 | 43.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 59.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.31 | 40.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 12:08. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Ham-Kam 1–2 Rosenborg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Ham-Kam 13th (27 points), Rosenborg 4th (43 points).
- Form in the competition: Ham-Kam 7W 5D 11L (33:48), Rosenborg 11W 4D 8L (43:31).
- H2H: 11 matches: Ham-Kam 3W 1D 7L, goals 11–20.
- Absences: Ham-Kam 2, Rosenborg 3.
Who will win Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg: team news and absences
Ham-Kam
- M. Johnsgardknee injury · will miss the match
- B. Isufiabsence · doubtful
Rosenborg
- J. Bakkeinjury · will miss the match
- E. Slordalfoot injury · will miss the match
- H. Voldeninjury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 | Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Ham-Kam
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Ham-KamDLLWLRosenborgWWWDWHead to head
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg?
Ham-Kam +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Over 2.5 goals (1.48).
Who will win Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg?
We estimate: Ham-Kam win 18%, draw 21%, Rosenborg win 61%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 17:00, venue: Briskeby, Hamar. Referee: Stian Rovig Sletner.
Who will be missing?
Ham-Kam: M. Johnsgard, B. Isufi. Rosenborg: J. Bakke, E. Slordal, H. Volden. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 64% (odds 1.48); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 36% (odds 2.77).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–2 as most likely (9.8%), then 0–2 (8.9%) and 1–1 (8.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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