Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Fredrikstad v Rosenborg: 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Fredrikstad Stadion (Fredrikstad), with Sigurd Smehus Kringstad refereeing. We have Rosenborg (53%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Fredrikstad are 11th in the table, on 29 points after 25 matches (8W 5D 12L), and Rosenborg are 4th, on 43 points (13W 4D 8L).
- Attack and defence. On average Fredrikstad score 1.2 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.7; for Rosenborg the figures are 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Fredrikstad: 8W 5D 11L, goals 29–41; Rosenborg: 12W 4D 8L, goals 46–31.
- Head to head. From 7 meetings: 1 win for Fredrikstad, 4 wins for Rosenborg and 2 draws, with the goals at 4–13.
What to expect
For us, Rosenborg are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.3%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.58), and we rate it at 61%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 60% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 7; Fredrikstad 1 win, 2 draws, Rosenborg 4 wins.
- An average of 2.4 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Fredrikstad 29–41, Rosenborg 46–31.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 60%.
- Out: Fredrikstad 2, Rosenborg 5.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 60%, best price 1.60). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Fredrikstad: S. Kvile, J. Nysveen. Absent for Rosenborg: J. Bakke, S. Nordli, E. Slordal, H. Volden, A. Pereira. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 4.25 | 4.18 | 1.81 |
| Market average | 3.98 | 3.92 | 1.77 |
| Lowest odds | 3.40 | 3.31 | 1.73 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.56 | 60.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.38 | 39.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.38 | 39.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.34 | 39.7% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 12:04. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Fredrikstad 1–1 Rosenborg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Fredrikstad 11th (29 points), Rosenborg 4th (43 points).
- Form in the competition: Fredrikstad 8W 5D 11L (29:41), Rosenborg 12W 4D 8L (46:31).
- H2H: 7 matches: Fredrikstad 1W 2D 4L, goals 4–13.
- Absences: Fredrikstad 2, Rosenborg 5.
Who will win Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: team news and absences
Fredrikstad
- S. Kvileknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Nysveeninjury · will miss the match
Rosenborg
- J. Bakkeinjury · will miss the match
- S. Nordlithigh injury · will miss the match
- E. Slordalfoot injury · will miss the match
- H. Voldeninjury · will miss the match
- A. Pereiraillness · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Fredrikstad
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
FredrikstadLLLDDRosenborgWWWDWHead to head
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
Rosenborg -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.83); Under 3.5 goals (1.58).
Who will win Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
We estimate: Fredrikstad win 23%, draw 24%, Rosenborg win 53%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad. Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad.
Who will be missing?
Fredrikstad: S. Kvile, J. Nysveen. Rosenborg: J. Bakke, S. Nordli, E. Slordal, H. Volden, A. Pereira. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.60); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 40% (odds 2.46).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.3%), then 1–2 (9.8%) and 0–1 (8.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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