It is Rosenborg against Start on 7 November 2026 · 17:00 at Lerkendal Stadion (Trondheim), and Espen Eskås will referee. Rosenborg (76%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Rosenborg vs Start betting prediction
Rosenborg are fourth in the Eliteserien on 43 points, and Start are 16th on 19. When the two meet at Lerkendal Stadion in Trondheim on 7 November, kick-off 17:00, that gap is the first thing we look at. The league table and season figures below belong to this competition only. The recent results are from all competitions, so a side can look different in one table and the other.
Which side is in better shape right now?
Rosenborg have been very good lately. Their last five matches, all competitions, produced four wins and one draw, with 13 goals scored and only 2 conceded. The only dropped points came in a 1-1 home draw with Sandefjord on 10 October. Four of those five were away trips, at Kristiansund BK, Sarpsborg 08 FF, Ham-Kam and Fredrikstad, and the run has the look of a team that travels well. In this league they have won 7 of their 12 home games and scored 28 while conceding 14.
Start are heading the other way. Their last five gave one win and four defeats, with 4 goals scored and 14 conceded. The win was a 1-0 home success over Sandefjord on 25 October, and the most recent result was a 0-1 home defeat to Lillestrøm on 1 November. Away from home in the league they have one win, one draw and ten defeats, with 11 goals scored and 35 conceded. We do not see a side that can make Rosenborg work hard at Lerkendal.
Where are the goals coming from?
This is where the numbers push us toward Rosenborg. In the league they have scored 49 and conceded 31, so 2.0 goals per match scored and 1.2 conceded. Start have 26 scored and 55 conceded, which is 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded per match. Start have struggled at both ends of the pitch, and that matters more than any single result.
The bookmakers expect Rosenborg to score around three and Start around one, about four goals in total. The most likely exact scores are 2-0 at 10.0%, 2-1 at 9.0% and 3-0 at 9.0%. Those are the market's expectations, not a count of what has happened in past matches, and we treat them as a guide to the shape of the game rather than a promise.
What do the last eight meetings tell us?
Rosenborg have dominated this fixture. In the last eight meetings they have won seven, drawn one, and Start have won none. Rosenborg have scored 13 goals to Start's one. The most recent meeting, on 18 July, finished Start 0-3 Rosenborg, and the earlier 2-1 Rosenborg win came on 24 February.
Start's single point from that run came in a 0-0 draw at home in July 2020. We do not read too much into a history that old on its own. But the pattern is consistent, and it sits neatly alongside the form tables. Start have not found a way to beat Rosenborg in recent years, and nothing we see now suggests they have.
Are there any absences to worry about?
No absences have been reported for either club. There is no injury or suspension story to add here, so the match comes down to form, quality and how each side handles the early pressure. It is a clean slate in that sense, and we are happy to judge it on what we can see.
Which bet do we like here?
Our main tip is Start +2 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.85 (chance 53%). At +2 the bet wins unless Start lose by three or more, and a defeat by exactly two returns the stake. On the likeliest scores, a 2-0 Rosenborg win returns the stake, a 2-1 wins, a 3-0 loses, a 3-1 returns the stake, and a 1-0 or a 1-1 wins.
We back it because the market gives it 53% at best odds 1.85. That is the whole argument, and we are not dressing it up as more. Rosenborg are the stronger side on the season figures, so we expect them to win, but we do not expect a rout. The handicap pays if Start hang around, and that is the scenario we are after. We would not put money on Start to win the match outright.
Our second tip is Both teams to score at odds 1.80 (chance 54%). Rosenborg have failed to score in 0 of their last five matches, and the expected total is about four goals. The market gives this 54% at best odds 1.80. It loses on 2-0, 3-0 and 1-0, and wins on 2-1, 3-1 and 1-1. We see it as a companion to the main tip, a way to back Start finding a goal, and not a bet we would stake heavily on its own.
Other bets we would consider, all at the prices given:
- Start +1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 2.33 (chance 42%). At +1.5 the bet wins unless Start lose by two or more, so a one-goal Rosenborg win still pays. This is the cleaner way to hold the underdog, and we think it is worth a small stake.
- Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.36 (chance 70%). It is short, but it fits the goals picture, and we would take it if you want a safer price on the total.
- Over 3.5 goals at odds 1.90 (chance 51%). A step up in risk, and we would only consider it as a small side bet.
- Over 10.5 corners and Under 10.5 corners, both at odds 1.87 (chance 50%). We have no figure that separates them, so we would leave the corners alone.
One last word before the whistle
Rosenborg should win this, and the market agrees with that view. Our interest is in the margin. Start have conceded heavily away from home and scored little, so a handicap that lets them stay in the game is the value we see. Start +2 is the bet we trust, and the second tip keeps you involved if Start find a goal.
Rosenborg vs Start: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.25 | 7.15 | 11.30 |
| Market average | 1.21 | 6.42 | 10.29 |
| Lowest odds | 1.18 | 5.51 | 7.72 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.09 | 86.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.32 | 71.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.22 | 29.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.89 | 1.85 | 50.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.72 | 53.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.07 | 2.01 | 46.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 02:08. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Rosenborg 2–0 Start, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Rosenborg 4th (43 points), Start 16th (19 points).
- Form in the competition: Rosenborg 13W 4D 8L (49:31), Start 5W 4D 16L (26:55).
- H2H: 8 matches: Rosenborg 7W 1D 0L, goals 13–1.
- Absences: Rosenborg 0, Start 0.
Who will win Rosenborg vs Start?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Rosenborg vs Start: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Rosenborg vs Start: team news and absences
Rosenborg
- No reported absences
Start
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 | |
| 2 | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 | |
| 3 | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 | |
| 4 | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 | |
| 5 | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 | |
| 6 | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 | |
| 7 | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 | |
| 8 | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 | |
| 9 | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 | |
| 10 | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 | |
| 11 | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 | |
| 12 | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 | |
| 13 | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 | |
| 14 | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 | |
| 15 | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 | |
| 16 | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Rosenborg
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Rosenborg vs Start?
Start +2 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Rosenborg vs Start?
We estimate: Rosenborg win 76%, draw 15%, Start win 9%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 7 November 2026, kick-off: 17:00, venue: Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim. Referee: Espen Eskås.
Who will be missing?
Rosenborg: no absences. Start: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 71% (odds 1.33); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 29% (odds 3.40).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–0 as most likely (9.8%), then 3–0 (9.0%) and 2–1 (8.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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