Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Sarpsborg 08 FF against Rosenborg on 18 October 2026 · 13:30 at Sarpsborg Stadion (Sarpsberg), and Espen Eskås, Norway will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Sarpsborg 08 FF are 9th in the table, on 31 points after 25 matches (8W 7D 10L), and Rosenborg are 4th, on 43 points (13W 4D 8L).
- Head to head. From 23 meetings: 7 wins for Sarpsborg 08 FF, 9 wins for Rosenborg and 7 draws, with the goals at 38–43.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (10.2%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
What stands out is that the table favours the Rosenborg, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 65% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 63% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 23; Sarpsborg 08 FF 7 wins, 7 draws, Rosenborg 9 wins.
- An average of 3.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 63%.
- Out: Sarpsborg 08 FF 0, Rosenborg 0.
Alternative tip: Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw (1X)
Alternative tip: Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw (1X) (probability 65%, best price 1.50). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Sarpsborg 08 FF: no absences. Absent for Rosenborg: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.36 | 4.02 | 2.78 |
| Market average | 2.29 | 3.81 | 2.69 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.70 | 2.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 82.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.71 | 2.53 | 36.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.26 | 2.20 | 42.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.42 | 65.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.75 | 2.66 | 34.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 18/10/26, 12:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–1 Rosenborg, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Sarpsborg 08 FF 9th (31 points), Rosenborg 4th (43 points).
- H2H: 23 matches: Sarpsborg 08 FF 7W 7D 9L, goals 38–43.
- Absences: Sarpsborg 08 FF 0, Rosenborg 0.
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg: team news and absences
Sarpsborg 08 FF
- No reported absences
Rosenborg
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
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Sarpsborg 08 FF
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg?
Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw (1X) (1.50); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg?
We estimate: Sarpsborg 08 FF win 41%, draw 25%, Rosenborg win 35%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 18 October 2026, kick-off: 13:30, venue: Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsberg. Referee: Espen Eskås, Norway.
Who will be missing?
Sarpsborg 08 FF: no absences. Rosenborg: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 63% (odds 1.50); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 37% (odds 2.71).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 65% (odds 1.44).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.2%), then 2–1 (8.7%) and 1–2 (7.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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