Tromsø vs Bodø/Glimt: prediction, tip and odds, 8 November 2026, Eliteserien

Tromsø vs Bodø/Glimt betting prediction

Tromsø at +1.5 is our main tip at odds 1.92 (chance 51%). The bet wins unless Tromsø lose by two or more, and we think a home side with this record in Eliteserien can keep the margin to one goal at Romssa Arena on 8 November 2026, kick-off 13:30. Bodø/Glimt are the stronger side on paper, and the bookmakers have them as clear favourites, so this is a bet on the size of the win, not on the result.

Where the points gap comes from

Tromsø sit sixth with 40 points from 25 matches, with 11 wins, 7 draws, 7 defeats and goals 43:38. Bodø/Glimt are second on 59 points, with 19 wins, 2 draws, 4 defeats and goals 61:23. These are figures for this competition only, and the gap is clearest in the scoring. Tromsø average 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. Bodø/Glimt average 2.4 scored and 0.9 conceded. Bodø/Glimt concede very little, and that is the part of their record we respect most.

Tromsø's home numbers are the reason we are not ready to write them off. They have won 7, drawn 4 and lost only 1 at home in this competition, scoring 22 and conceding 10. Bodø/Glimt away are almost as good, with 8 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, goals 24:13. Both sides are comfortable on their own patch, and that is why we give the venue more weight than the table alone would suggest.

Form across all competitions is less tidy

Tromsø's last five matches, in all competitions, are uneven. They beat Ham-Kam 3-2 at home, drew 1-1 at Fredrikstad and 1-1 at home to KFUM Oslo, then lost 3-1 at Viking and 4-0 at Vålerenga. Those five produced 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with goals 6:11. The two defeats show where the trouble lies: they have been opened up twice in a row, and the Vålerenga result was a heavy one.

Bodø/Glimt's run is less convincing in its details but more productive overall. They beat Borussia Dortmund 1-0 at home and won 2-0 at Ham-Kam, then lost 4-3 at Napoli and 0-1 at home to Vålerenga before a 3-2 home win over Viking. Their five matches read 3 wins and 2 defeats, with goals 9:7. Those figures come from all competitions, so they do not tell us about their Eliteserien position, which is the league table. What they do tell us is that Bodø/Glimt have not been untouchable.

Meetings: Bodø/Glimt usually win

In the last 19 meetings Bodø/Glimt have won 10, Tromsø have won 5 and 4 have been drawn. The goals are 37 for Bodø/Glimt and 23 for Tromsø. The latest meeting, a 5-0 Bodø/Glimt win on 16/5/26, is the number that worries us most. Before that came a 1-1 draw on 9/8/25 and a 2-1 Tromsø home win on 16/5/25. Earlier, a 0-0 on 19/10/24 and a 4-0 Bodø/Glimt win on 16/5/24 sit alongside a 0-2 Tromsø win at Bodø/Glimt on 30/7/23.

We read this as a fixture Bodø/Glimt tend to control, though the margin has not always been wide. Tromsø have taken results from these meetings, enough to keep them in the picture.

Full squads and what the prices say

No absences have been reported for either side. The bookmakers make Bodø/Glimt 69% to win at best odds 1.37. A draw is 18% at best odds 5.56, and a Tromsø win is 13% at best odds 7.75. The margin on the match result is 8.2%.

The Asian handicap lines express the same view more usefully for our purposes. Bodø/Glimt -0.75 is 67% at 1.42, and Tromsø +1.5 is 51% at 1.92. The market expects Tromsø to score about 1 and Bodø/Glimt about 2, roughly 3 goals in total. Those figures describe what the bookmakers expect; they are not a count of how past matches went. The most likely exact scores in the market are 1-2 at 9.5%, 0-2 at 9.1% and 1-3 at 7.8%.

Best bet for Tromsø vs Bodø/Glimt: Tromsø +1.5

Our main tip is Tromsø +1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.92 (chance 51%). At +1.5 the bet wins unless Tromsø lose by 2 or more. On the likeliest scores it wins on 1-2, 1-1 and 0-1, and loses on 0-2, 1-3 and 0-3.

We are not saying Tromsø win. The outright price already tells us the bookmakers do not expect it. What we are saying is that a defeat by two or more goals is the one outcome that loses this bet, and Tromsø's home record of 7 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat is why we think that outcome is less likely. The price is fair rather than generous, but we see enough in the home numbers to take it.

Another tip: Both teams to score

The second tip is Both teams to score at odds 1.62 (chance 59%). It wins on 1-2, 1-3 and 1-1, and loses on 0-2, 0-3 and 0-1.

Both sides have been scoring regularly enough for this to make sense. In Tromsø's last five matches, both teams scored in 4 of them. Tromsø failed to score in only 1 of those five, and Bodø/Glimt failed to score in only 1 of their last five. The market expects about 3 goals in total and gives this 59% at best odds 1.62. The price is not generous, but the scoring pattern behind it is the stronger argument.

Other bets we would add

If you want more exposure, we would look at Tromsø +1.25 at odds 2.17 (chance 45%). Half the stake sits on Tromsø +1 and half on Tromsø +1.5, so a defeat by exactly one goal returns half the stake rather than losing all of it. It fits our main tip and gives a little more protection in a one-goal loss. Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.40 (chance 68%) is the shorter, safer price that matches the expected total of about 3 goals. Over 8.5 corners at odds 1.75 (chance 54%) is a small add-on we would only back with a modest stake. Keep any of these small, and do not chase Bodø/Glimt at short prices while the one-goal margin is the real opportunity.