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Premier League · Matchweek 8 · 25 October 2026 · 14:00

Hull City vs Brentford: prediction, tip and odds, 25 October 2026, Premier League

1–1
1Hull City5.10
XDraw4.21
2Brentford1.73

Best price · Updated 25/10/26, 13:09

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Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Hull City v Brentford: 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at MKM Stadium (Hull), with Robert Jones refereeing. We have Brentford (57%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Hull City vs Brentford: tip and prediction
Handicap
Hull City +1.5 (Asian handicap)
1.50
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.51
Combo
Brentford + over 2.5 goals combined
2.64
38% · fair odds for the combo
66%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Brentford (X2): 80% probability, best odds 1.21.

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Hull City vs Brentford: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Hull City are 11th in the table, on 11 points after 9 matches (2W 5D 2L), and Brentford are 6th, on 14 points (3W 5D 1L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average Hull City score 1.1 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.0; for Brentford the figures are 1.9 scored and 1.1 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Hull City: 2W 3D 2L, goals 8–7; Brentford: 2W 4D 1L, goals 13–8.
  4. Head to head. From 9 meetings: 4 wins for Hull City, 2 wins for Brentford and 3 draws, with the goals at 14–15.

What to expect

For us, Brentford are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 57% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 57% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 9; Hull City 4 wins, 3 draws, Brentford 2 wins.
  2. An average of 3.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Hull City 8–7, Brentford 13–8.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 57%.
  5. Out: Hull City 7, Brentford 5.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, best price 1.71). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Hull City: I. Ansah, J. Butland, D. Gyabi, C. Hughes, E. Matazo, N. Mendy, M. Targett. Absent for Brentford: J. Dasilva, K. Furo, V. Janelt, A. Milambo, Y. Yarmolyuk. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Hull City vs Brentford: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price5.104.211.73
Market average4.854.081.69
Lowest odds4.603.901.65
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.221.2078.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.711.6757.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.322.2342.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.662.5936.5%
BTTS – yes1.671.6456.9%
BTTS – no2.252.1643.1%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 13:09. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.5%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Hull City 1–1 Brentford, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Hull City 11th (11 points), Brentford 6th (14 points).
  • Form in the competition: Hull City 2W 3D 2L (8:7), Brentford 2W 4D 1L (13:8).
  • H2H: 9 matches: Hull City 4W 3D 2L, goals 14–15.
  • Absences: Hull City 7, Brentford 5.

Who will win Hull City vs Brentford?

Hull City20%
Draw23%
Brentford57%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Hull City vs Brentford: more betting tips

Draw or Brentford (X2)80.3% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.21
Likely
Over 1.5 goals78.9% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.22
Likely
Under 3.5 goals63.5% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.51
Likely
Over 2.5 goals57.2% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.71
Possible
BTTS – yes56.9% · fair odds 1.76 · best 1.67
Possible
Brentford to win56.8% · fair odds 1.76 · best 1.73
Possible
BTTS – no43.1% · fair odds 2.32 · best 2.25
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals42.8% · fair odds 2.34 · best 2.32
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals36.5% · fair odds 2.74 · best 2.66
Outsider
Draw23.5% · fair odds 4.26 · best 4.21
Outsider
Hull City to win19.7% · fair odds 5.07 · best 5.10
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.70 · Under 2.06
probability of over 54.9%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.71 · Under 2.09
probability of over 55.0%

Correct score prediction

1 : 110.4%
0 : 19.9%
1 : 29.9%
0 : 29.4%
1 : 36.3%
0 : 36.0%

Hull City vs Brentford: team news and absences

Hull City

  • I. Ansahback injury · will miss the match
  • J. Butlandabsence · will miss the match
  • D. Gyabigroin injury · will miss the match
  • C. Hughesgroin injury · will miss the match
  • E. Matazoknee injury · will miss the match
  • N. Mendygroin injury · will miss the match
  • M. Targettankle injury · will miss the match

Brentford

  • J. Dasilvamuscle injury · will miss the match
  • K. Furoabsence · will miss the match
  • V. Janeltred card · will miss the match
  • A. Milamboknock · will miss the match
  • Y. Yarmolyukred card · will miss the match

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Arsenal98-0-114:524
2Manchester City97-0-220:1021
3Brighton96-1-224:719
4Chelsea95-1-319:1516
5Liverpool94-3-211:915
6Brentford93-5-116:914
7Everton93-4-29:913
8Bournemouth93-3-314:1312
9Tottenham93-3-310:1012
10Aston Villa93-3-310:1312
11Hull City92-5-211:1011
12Leeds92-5-29:811
13Newcastle93-2-412:1511
14Ipswich93-2-414:1811
15Fulham92-3-49:119
16Coventry93-0-69:169
17Manchester United91-4-410:157
18Crystal Palace92-1-69:217
19Nottingham Forest91-3-56:126
20Sunderland91-2-67:175

Recent matches

Hull City

31 OctDHull City 2–2 Ipswich
25 OctDHull City 1–1 Brentford
17 OctLFulham 1–0 Hull City
11 OctDHull City 2–2 Everton
19 SeptLNewcastle 2–1 Hull City

Brentford

31 OctWBrentford 2–0 Nottingham Forest
25 OctDHull City 1–1 Brentford
17 OctLBrentford 1–2 Liverpool
10 OctDAston Villa 2–2 Brentford
18 SeptWBrentford 3–0 Chelsea

Home and away

Hull City at home5 matches: 1W 4D 0L, goals 7–5
Brentford away4 matches: 0W 4D 0L, goals 6–6

Team comparison

Hull CityBrentford
33%Form67%
36%Attack64%
50%Defence50%
38%Head to head62%
33%Goals67%
42.0%Overall58.0%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

Hull CityDDLDL
BrentfordWDLDW

Head to head

All matches
4Hull City
3Draws
2Brentford
25/10/26 · Hull City 1–1 Brentford
1/2/20 · Hull City 1–5 Brentford
17/8/19 · Brentford 1–1 Hull City
23/2/19 · Brentford 5–1 Hull City
15/12/18 · Hull City 2–0 Brentford
6/5/18 · Brentford 1–1 Hull City

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.5%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Hull City vs Brentford?

Hull City +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.50); Under 3.5 goals (1.51).

Who will win Hull City vs Brentford?

We estimate: Hull City win 20%, draw 23%, Brentford win 57%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: MKM Stadium, Hull. Referee: Robert Jones.

Who will be missing?

Hull City: I. Ansah, J. Butland, D. Gyabi, C. Hughes, E. Matazo, N. Mendy, M. Targett. Brentford: J. Dasilva, K. Furo, V. Janelt, A. Milambo, Y. Yarmolyuk. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.71); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 43% (odds 2.32).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 57% (odds 1.67).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.4%), then 0–1 (9.9%) and 1–2 (9.9%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Everton vs Coventry 6 NovLeeds vs Tottenham 7 NovFulham vs Newcastle 7 NovArsenal vs Hull City 7 NovNottingham Forest vs Manchester City 7 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.