Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Hull City v Brentford: 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at MKM Stadium (Hull), with Robert Jones refereeing. We have Brentford (57%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Hull City vs Brentford: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Hull City are 11th in the table, on 11 points after 9 matches (2W 5D 2L), and Brentford are 6th, on 14 points (3W 5D 1L).
- Attack and defence. On average Hull City score 1.1 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.0; for Brentford the figures are 1.9 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Hull City: 2W 3D 2L, goals 8–7; Brentford: 2W 4D 1L, goals 13–8.
- Head to head. From 9 meetings: 4 wins for Hull City, 2 wins for Brentford and 3 draws, with the goals at 14–15.
What to expect
For us, Brentford are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 57% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 57% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 9; Hull City 4 wins, 3 draws, Brentford 2 wins.
- An average of 3.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Hull City 8–7, Brentford 13–8.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 57%.
- Out: Hull City 7, Brentford 5.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, best price 1.71). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Hull City: I. Ansah, J. Butland, D. Gyabi, C. Hughes, E. Matazo, N. Mendy, M. Targett. Absent for Brentford: J. Dasilva, K. Furo, V. Janelt, A. Milambo, Y. Yarmolyuk. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Hull City vs Brentford: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 5.10 | 4.21 | 1.73 |
| Market average | 4.85 | 4.08 | 1.69 |
| Lowest odds | 4.60 | 3.90 | 1.65 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.20 | 78.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.71 | 1.67 | 57.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.32 | 2.23 | 42.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.66 | 2.59 | 36.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.64 | 56.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.16 | 43.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 13:09. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.5%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Hull City 1–1 Brentford, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Hull City 11th (11 points), Brentford 6th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Hull City 2W 3D 2L (8:7), Brentford 2W 4D 1L (13:8).
- H2H: 9 matches: Hull City 4W 3D 2L, goals 14–15.
- Absences: Hull City 7, Brentford 5.
Who will win Hull City vs Brentford?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Hull City vs Brentford: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Hull City vs Brentford: team news and absences
Hull City
- I. Ansahback injury · will miss the match
- J. Butlandabsence · will miss the match
- D. Gyabigroin injury · will miss the match
- C. Hughesgroin injury · will miss the match
- E. Matazoknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Mendygroin injury · will miss the match
- M. Targettankle injury · will miss the match
Brentford
- J. Dasilvamuscle injury · will miss the match
- K. Furoabsence · will miss the match
- V. Janeltred card · will miss the match
- A. Milamboknock · will miss the match
- Y. Yarmolyukred card · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Hull City
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Hull City vs Brentford?
Hull City +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.50); Under 3.5 goals (1.51).
Who will win Hull City vs Brentford?
We estimate: Hull City win 20%, draw 23%, Brentford win 57%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: MKM Stadium, Hull. Referee: Robert Jones.
Who will be missing?
Hull City: I. Ansah, J. Butland, D. Gyabi, C. Hughes, E. Matazo, N. Mendy, M. Targett. Brentford: J. Dasilva, K. Furo, V. Janelt, A. Milambo, Y. Yarmolyuk. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.71); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 43% (odds 2.32).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 57% (odds 1.67).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.4%), then 0–1 (9.9%) and 1–2 (9.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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