Leeds vs Tottenham: prediction, tip and odds, 7 November 2026, Premier League

Leeds vs Tottenham betting prediction

Elland Road plays host to Tottenham on 7 November 2026, with kick-off at 12:30 in Matchweek 10 of the Premier League. Spurs sit ninth on 12 points, while Leeds are 12th on 11, which leaves them three places and just one point apart. Both standings reflect this competition alone, a detail worth keeping in mind because each side has also played other fixtures this autumn.

Where the two sides stand after nine games

Leeds have collected two wins, five draws and two defeats, with nine goals scored and eight conceded. Their best form has come at Elland Road, where they have taken a single victory and three stalemates without losing once. They have scored six there and let in three. Tottenham's ledger reads three wins, three draws and three losses, with ten goals scored and ten conceded. On the road, they have managed one victory, two draws and one loss, yet found the net only three times.

Scoring has been hard to come by for both clubs in this competition. Leeds are netting 1.0 goal per game and letting in 0.9. Tottenham are averaging 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded. The two sides have been separated by very little, so we would not read too much into the three-place gap.

Leeds have a goal problem and Tottenham are finding theirs

Leeds have gone five matches without a win in any competition. Across those games they managed no victories, three draws and two defeats, scoring just two goals while conceding five. The results read 0-0 at home to Crystal Palace, a 1-2 loss at Arsenal, a 1-1 draw at home to Manchester United, a 0-0 draw at Sunderland and a 2-0 defeat at Bournemouth. The back line has been tidy at times, but two goals in five outings is a meagre return, and it is hard to picture a side in that form taking points on the road.

On recent form, Tottenham appear the more incisive team. Across their last five outings they collected three wins, dropped one game and found the net ten times, beating Coventry 3-1 at home, winning 2-0 at Chelsea and then seeing off Crystal Palace 2-0 at home in their latest match. The only setback in that stretch was a 2-3 reverse at home to Aston Villa, while a 1-1 draw at Manchester United was the remaining result. Because this sample includes every competition, it does not map neatly onto the league table, where Tottenham's away record has been much less persuasive.

Six wins from nine meetings

Past results point in one direction. Across the last nine encounters, Tottenham have taken six wins, Leeds two, and the other one ended level. Tottenham's tally in those fixtures reads 22 goals against Leeds' 12. The latest clash, dated 11 May 2026, finished 1-1 at Tottenham. Before that, on 4 October 2025, Tottenham edged a 2-1 result away at Elland Road. Form in the past will not settle a Premier League match, yet it does suggest Tottenham usually come out on top when these sides meet.

No fresh injury news to weigh

Neither side has any absences reported. There is nothing in the team news to shift our thinking in either direction.

What the bookmakers make of it

The three-way result market is nearly even. Leeds to win stands at 37% (top odds 2.69), the draw at 28% (top odds 3.57), and a Tottenham victory at 35% (top odds 2.77). The overround built into these prices sits at 5.8%. Among exact scorelines, 1-1 comes out on top at 12.6%, followed by 0-1 and 1-0, each at 9.7%. Both sides are projected to score about one goal, so the match total lands near two.

The clearest value sits in the Asian handicap market. Tottenham +0.25 carries a 57% probability with best available odds of 1.74, and that is the selection we recommend backing. The over/under 2.5 goals market is close to even, with over at 49% and under at 51%, so there is no meaningful edge there.

Best bet for Leeds vs Tottenham: Tottenham +0.25

Tottenham +0.25 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.74, chance 57%.

Split the stake evenly: one half backs Tottenham +0, the other half backs Tottenham +0.5. On the +0 half, a Tottenham victory collects, a draw hands back that portion, and a loss forfeits it. The +0.5 half collects in every outcome except a Tottenham defeat by a margin of one goal or more.

Our lean is Tottenham. Spurs have collected three wins from their last five while dropping just one of those games, whereas Leeds have not won any of theirs. In the table Tottenham sit a point clear, 12 to 11, and across the last nine head-to-heads they have taken six victories to the Yorkshire side's two. Away from home they have managed one win, two draws and a single defeat, which is hardly dominant, yet they are far from a soft touch on the road at Elland Road. With a 57% probability and best odds of 1.74, the price looks fair to us, and we see the value on Tottenham.

Here is how the main tip pays out across the most probable scorelines (home-away): a 1-1 result returns half the stake as a win on half, with the other half refunded. A 0-1 result is a full win. A 1-0 result is a loss. A 1-2 result is a full win. A 2-1 result is a loss. A 0-0 result splits the stake, with half winning and half refunded.

A second pick on both teams finding the net

Odds of 1.75 on both teams to find the net, with an estimated 55% chance.

Our second pick follows the same reasoning as the main tip. Tottenham have failed to score in none of their last five games, and both sides have found the net in three of those matches. Leeds, however, have managed to score in just two of their last five, so a home goal on its own is not what we are backing. With expected goals sitting near one for each team, this selection depends on both sides scoring. We rate that at 55%, and the best available odds are 1.75.

Here is how the second tip plays out across the most probable scorelines (home-away): a 1-1 draw wins. A 0-1 result loses. A 1-0 result loses. A 1-2 result wins. A 2-1 result wins. A 0-0 draw loses.

Other bets we would back

For a secondary selection, Draw or Tottenham (X2) at 1.53 fits well with our assessment. The price implies 63%, and the bet wins even without a Tottenham victory, which offers helpful protection considering Leeds' record at home.

On the goals market, Under 3.5 goals at 1.35 (72% chance) is our pick, since with roughly two goals projected, three and a half looks like a reach. Over 1.5 goals at 1.31 (73% chance) is the other option, and it's the more dependable choice if you want a goals bet that's likely to come through.

Our verdict on Leeds against Tottenham

Leeds have a solid home record that is hard to break down, yet they have gone five games without a win and managed just two goals across that stretch. Tottenham arrive in better shape and hold the stronger record in meetings between the two, which is why we see the edge on their side. Our main pick is Tottenham +0.25, and we pair it with both teams to score as a second bet. League table and season numbers cover this competition alone, while the recent results span every competition, so we weigh the two together to gauge where each team stands at the moment.