Arsenal vs Hull City: prediction, tip and odds, 7 November 2026, Premier League

Arsenal vs Hull City betting prediction

We like Arsenal -2 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.86, with a chance of 53%. The Gunners host Hull City at the Emirates Stadium on 7 November 2026, kick-off 15:00, and we expect them to win by a clear margin rather than just win. The line asks for a win by three or more, so this is a bet on dominance, not only on the result.

Arsenal's home record and the goals behind it

Arsenal sit top of the Premier League with 24 points from nine matches, and they have lost only once in the competition this season. Across those nine matches they have scored 14 goals and conceded only five, which works out at 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded per match. The home numbers are the most telling part. Four wins from four at the Emirates, with a goal return of 9:2, is the kind of record that makes us comfortable laying a margin.

Their last five matches in all competitions point the same way. Arsenal won four of them, drew one and lost none, scoring nine and conceding two. The 1-0 win at Liverpool on 1 November 2026 and the 2-0 win over Everton on 24 October 2026 show they can win without much fuss. The 2-2 draw at Bayern München on 21 October 2026 is the one blemish, and even that came away from home.

Hull City's draws and their leaky defence

Hull City are a different proposition. They have two wins, five draws and two defeats from nine games in this competition, sitting 11th on 11 points. Their 11 goals scored and 10 conceded tell the story of a side that keeps games level without often controlling them. On the road the record is one win, one draw and two defeats, with four scored and five conceded.

The last five matches in all competitions are worse. Hull have not won any of them, drawing three and losing two. They have scored six and conceded eight. The 2-2 draw with Ipswich on 31 October 2026 and the 1-1 draw with Brentford on 25 October 2026 suggest a side that can hold its own at home, yet the 1-0 defeat at Fulham on 17 October 2026 showed how little it takes to beat them away. We do not see a team that will trouble Arsenal's attack for long.

Ten meetings that lean one way

Head-to-head is the easiest argument to make. Arsenal have won eight of the last ten meetings, drawn two and lost none, scoring 25 goals to Hull's six. The most recent of those is the 2-0 win for Arsenal on 11 February 2017, and the 1-4 and 0-4 results in 2016 show how comfortably they have won away from the Emirates too. The 0-0 draw on 20 February 2016 is the only blemish on an otherwise one-sided run. History alone would not make a tip, but it fits the picture the current form paints.

Why the two-goal margin is worth the risk

The market agrees with us, though not by much. Bookmakers give Arsenal a 53% chance of winning by three or more at the best odds of 1.86. The Asian handicap ladder shows the same story: -1.5 at 63% and -1.25 at 70%, with the -2 line priced as the more demanding bet. We are happy to take the price because the form and the table both suggest Arsenal should be dominant.

The settlement is simple. A 2-0 Arsenal win returns the stake, and so does a 3-1 win. A 3-0 or 4-0 win takes the bet, while 1-0 or 2-1 loses it. Those are the scores we consider most likely, with 2-0 at 14.1%, 3-0 at 12.7% and 1-0 at 10.5%, so the stake-back result is in the mix, but so is a clear loss if Arsenal are narrow. That is the risk we accept. Arsenal have won four of their last five and lost none, and they have not conceded in four of those five. A side with that profile should be able to put three past a team that has conceded eight in its last five.

Another tip: Over 2.5 goals

Our second tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.52, chance 63%. We like it because Hull City have had more than 2.5 goals in three of their last five matches in all competitions, and the market expects about four goals in this match. The bet wins with 3-0, 4-0, 2-1 or 3-1 and loses with 2-0 or 1-0. It pairs naturally with the handicap, since an Arsenal win by three or more is already a total of three goals or more.

Among the other bets, we would lean towards Both teams to score: No at odds 1.62, chance 60%. Arsenal's home form and Hull's away scoring both point to a game where one side keeps a clean sheet. For a more cautious option, Arsenal -1 at odds 1.22 with a 79% chance fits the idea of an Arsenal win while still giving some room if the match is less one-sided than we expect. The market margin on the match result is 5.8%, and the bookmakers see Arsenal at 82%, so there is little value in backing a simple win, but the handicap and goals markets give us a better edge.