Premier League
Home › Predictions › Brentford vs Liverpool
Premier League · Matchweek 7 · 17 October 2026 · 15:00

Brentford vs Liverpool: prediction, tip and odds, 17 October 2026, Premier League

1–2
1Brentford2.81
XDraw3.76
2Liverpool2.56

Best price · Updated 17/10/26, 13:52

FreshbetBet with Freshbet →
TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisFAQ

Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

It is Brentford against Liverpool on 17 October 2026 · 15:00 at Gtech Community Stadium (London), and John Brooks, England will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.

Brentford vs Liverpool: tip and prediction
Result
Draw or Liverpool (X2)
1.57
Goals
Both teams to score
1.50
65%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match

Bet now →

Brentford vs Liverpool: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Brentford are 6th in the table, on 14 points after 9 matches (3W 5D 1L), and Liverpool are 5th, on 15 points (4W 3D 2L).

What to expect

We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (10.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 63% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 60% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 60%.
  2. Out: Brentford 0, Liverpool 0.

Alternative tip: Draw or Liverpool (X2)

Alternative tip: Draw or Liverpool (X2) (probability 65%, best price 1.57). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Brentford: no absences. Absent for Liverpool: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Brentford vs Liverpool: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price2.813.762.56
Market average2.693.652.46
Lowest odds2.603.402.38
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.171.1581.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.581.5660.4%
Under 2.5 goals2.492.3839.6%
Over 3.5 goals2.402.3540.4%
BTTS – yes1.501.4863.3%
BTTS – no2.642.5436.7%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 17/10/26, 13:52. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.3%.

All bookmakers →

At a glance

  • Likely result: Brentford 1–1 Liverpool, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Brentford 6th (14 points), Liverpool 5th (15 points).
  • Absences: Brentford 0, Liverpool 0.

Who will win Brentford vs Liverpool?

Brentford35%
Draw26%
Liverpool39%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Brentford vs Liverpool: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals81.1% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.17
Likely
Draw or Liverpool (X2)64.7% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.57
Likely
BTTS – yes63.3% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.50
Likely
Over 2.5 goals60.4% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.58
Likely
Under 3.5 goals59.6% · fair odds 1.68 · best 1.63
Possible
Over 3.5 goals40.4% · fair odds 2.48 · best 2.40
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals39.6% · fair odds 2.52 · best 2.49
Outsider
Liverpool to win38.7% · fair odds 2.59 · best 2.56
Outsider
BTTS – no36.7% · fair odds 2.72 · best 2.64
Outsider
Brentford to win35.3% · fair odds 2.83 · best 2.81
Outsider
Draw26.0% · fair odds 3.84 · best 3.76
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.05 · Under 1.73
probability of over 45.8%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.98 · Under 1.77
probability of over 47.1%

Correct score prediction

1 : 110.8%
1 : 28.6%
2 : 18.1%
0 : 17.2%
1 : 06.8%
2 : 26.5%

Brentford vs Liverpool: team news and absences

Brentford

  • No reported absences

Liverpool

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Arsenal98-0-114:524
2Manchester City97-0-220:1021
3Brighton96-1-224:719
4Chelsea95-1-319:1516
5Liverpool94-3-211:915
6Brentford93-5-116:914
7Everton93-4-29:913
8Bournemouth93-3-314:1312
9Tottenham93-3-310:1012
10Aston Villa93-3-310:1312
11Hull City92-5-211:1011
12Leeds92-5-29:811
13Newcastle93-2-412:1511
14Ipswich93-2-414:1811
15Fulham92-3-49:119
16Coventry93-0-69:169
17Manchester United91-4-410:157
18Crystal Palace92-1-69:217
19Nottingham Forest91-3-56:126
20Sunderland91-2-67:175

Recent matches

Brentford

31 OctWBrentford 2–0 Nottingham Forest
25 OctDHull City 1–1 Brentford
17 OctLBrentford 1–2 Liverpool
10 OctDAston Villa 2–2 Brentford
18 SeptWBrentford 3–0 Chelsea

Liverpool

4 NovLFenerbahçe 3–2 Liverpool
1 NovLLiverpool 0–1 Arsenal
25 OctWLiverpool 2–0 Brighton
20 OctWLiverpool 4–3 Villarreal
17 OctWBrentford 1–2 Liverpool

Home and away

Brentford at home5 matches: 3W 1D 1L, goals 10–3
Liverpool away4 matches: 3W 1D 0L, goals 7–3

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.3%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Brentford vs Liverpool?

Draw or Liverpool (X2) (1.57); Both teams to score (1.50).

Who will win Brentford vs Liverpool?

We estimate: Brentford win 35%, draw 26%, Liverpool win 39%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 17 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: Gtech Community Stadium, London. Referee: John Brooks, England.

Who will be missing?

Brentford: no absences. Liverpool: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.58); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 40% (odds 2.49).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 63% (odds 1.50).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.8%), then 1–2 (8.6%) and 2–1 (8.1%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Everton vs Coventry 6 NovLeeds vs Tottenham 7 NovFulham vs Newcastle 7 NovArsenal vs Hull City 7 NovNottingham Forest vs Manchester City 7 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.