Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Ipswich play Nottingham Forest at home on 23 October 2026 · 20:00 at Portman Road Stadium (Ipswich); the referee is Thomas Bramall, England. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Ipswich are 14th in the table, on 11 points after 9 matches (3W 2D 4L), and Nottingham Forest are 19th, on 6 points (1W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. On average Ipswich score 1.6 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.1; for Nottingham Forest the figures are 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Ipswich: 3W 0D 4L, goals 11–15; Nottingham Forest: 1W 2D 4L, goals 5–9.
- Head to head. From 20 meetings: 4 wins for Ipswich, 9 wins for Nottingham Forest and 7 draws, with the goals at 23–32.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–2 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
What stands out is that the table favours the Ipswich, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the away side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.62), and we rate it at 59%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 59% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 54% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 20; Ipswich 4 wins, 7 draws, Nottingham Forest 9 wins.
- An average of 2.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Ipswich 11–15, Nottingham Forest 5–9.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 54%.
- Out: Ipswich 2, Nottingham Forest 2.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 59%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Ipswich: S. Lukic, J. Taylor. Absent for Nottingham Forest: Igor Jesus, N. Savona. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.29 | 3.58 | 2.36 |
| Market average | 3.15 | 3.47 | 2.28 |
| Lowest odds | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.23 | 76.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.77 | 54.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.14 | 2.09 | 45.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.94 | 2.79 | 33.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 58.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.26 | 41.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 23/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Ipswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Ipswich 14th (11 points), Nottingham Forest 19th (6 points).
- Form in the competition: Ipswich 3W 0D 4L (11:15), Nottingham Forest 1W 2D 4L (5:9).
- H2H: 20 matches: Ipswich 4W 7D 9L, goals 23–32.
- Absences: Ipswich 2, Nottingham Forest 2.
Who will win Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: team news and absences
Ipswich
- S. Lukicgroin injury · will miss the match
- J. Taylorknee injury · will miss the match
Nottingham Forest
- Igor Jesuscalf injury · will miss the match
- N. Savonaknee injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Ipswich
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?
Ipswich +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.96); Both teams to score (1.62).
Who will win Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?
We estimate: Ipswich win 30%, draw 28%, Nottingham Forest win 42%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 23 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich. Referee: Thomas Bramall, England.
Who will be missing?
Ipswich: S. Lukic, J. Taylor. Nottingham Forest: Igor Jesus, N. Savona. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.83); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 46% (odds 2.14).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 59% (odds 1.62).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.7%), then 1–2 (9.0%) and 0–1 (9.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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