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Premier League · Matchweek 8 · 23 October 2026 · 20:00

Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: prediction, tip and odds, 23 October 2026, Premier League

1Ipswich3.29
XDraw3.58
2Nottingham Forest2.36

Best price · Updated 23/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Ipswich play Nottingham Forest at home on 23 October 2026 · 20:00 at Portman Road Stadium (Ipswich); the referee is Thomas Bramall, England. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.

Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: tip and prediction
Handicap
Ipswich +0.25 (Asian handicap)
1.96
Goals
Both teams to score
1.62
51%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Ipswich are 14th in the table, on 11 points after 9 matches (3W 2D 4L), and Nottingham Forest are 19th, on 6 points (1W 3D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average Ipswich score 1.6 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.1; for Nottingham Forest the figures are 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Ipswich: 3W 0D 4L, goals 11–15; Nottingham Forest: 1W 2D 4L, goals 5–9.
  4. Head to head. From 20 meetings: 4 wins for Ipswich, 9 wins for Nottingham Forest and 7 draws, with the goals at 23–32.

What to expect

We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–2 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

What stands out is that the table favours the Ipswich, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the away side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.

In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.62), and we rate it at 59%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 59% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 54% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 20; Ipswich 4 wins, 7 draws, Nottingham Forest 9 wins.
  2. An average of 2.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Ipswich 11–15, Nottingham Forest 5–9.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 54%.
  5. Out: Ipswich 2, Nottingham Forest 2.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 59%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Ipswich: S. Lukic, J. Taylor. Absent for Nottingham Forest: Igor Jesus, N. Savona. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price3.293.582.36
Market average3.153.472.28
Lowest odds3.003.302.20
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.261.2376.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.831.7754.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.142.0945.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.942.7933.9%
BTTS – yes1.621.5858.8%
BTTS – no2.382.2641.2%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 23/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.4%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Ipswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Ipswich 14th (11 points), Nottingham Forest 19th (6 points).
  • Form in the competition: Ipswich 3W 0D 4L (11:15), Nottingham Forest 1W 2D 4L (5:9).
  • H2H: 20 matches: Ipswich 4W 7D 9L, goals 23–32.
  • Absences: Ipswich 2, Nottingham Forest 2.

Who will win Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?

Ipswich30%
Draw28%
Nottingham Forest42%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals76.9% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.26
Likely
Draw or Nottingham Forest (X2)69.6% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.40
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.1% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.44
Likely
BTTS – yes58.8% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.2% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.83
Possible
Under 2.5 goals45.8% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.14
Outsider
Nottingham Forest to win42.0% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.36
Outsider
BTTS – no41.2% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.38
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.9% · fair odds 2.95 · best 2.94
Outsider
Ipswich to win30.4% · fair odds 3.29 · best 3.29
Outsider
Draw27.6% · fair odds 3.62 · best 3.58
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.93 · Under 1.83
probability of over 48.7%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.70 · Under 2.09
probability of over 55.1%

Correct score prediction

1 : 111.7%
1 : 29.0%
0 : 19.0%
2 : 17.6%
1 : 07.5%
0 : 26.9%

Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: team news and absences

Ipswich

  • S. Lukicgroin injury · will miss the match
  • J. Taylorknee injury · will miss the match

Nottingham Forest

  • Igor Jesuscalf injury · will miss the match
  • N. Savonaknee injury · will miss the match

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Arsenal98-0-114:524
2Manchester City97-0-220:1021
3Brighton96-1-224:719
4Chelsea95-1-319:1516
5Liverpool94-3-211:915
6Brentford93-5-116:914
7Everton93-4-29:913
8Bournemouth93-3-314:1312
9Tottenham93-3-310:1012
10Aston Villa93-3-310:1312
11Hull City92-5-211:1011
12Leeds92-5-29:811
13Newcastle93-2-412:1511
14Ipswich93-2-414:1811
15Fulham92-3-49:119
16Coventry93-0-69:169
17Manchester United91-4-410:157
18Crystal Palace92-1-69:217
19Nottingham Forest91-3-56:126
20Sunderland91-2-67:175

Recent matches

Ipswich

31 OctDHull City 2–2 Ipswich
23 OctDIpswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest
17 OctLManchester City 3–2 Ipswich
10 OctWIpswich 2–1 Fulham
19 SeptLEverton 1–0 Ipswich

Nottingham Forest

31 OctLBrentford 2–0 Nottingham Forest
23 OctDIpswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest
18 OctLNottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal
11 OctLCrystal Palace 3–1 Nottingham Forest
19 SeptLNottingham Forest 0–1 Coventry

Home and away

Ipswich at home4 matches: 2W 1D 1L, goals 5–5
Nottingham Forest away5 matches: 1W 2D 2L, goals 6–9

Team comparison

IpswichNottingham Forest
60%Form40%
70%Attack30%
40%Defence60%
15%Head to head85%
31%Goals69%
44.2%Overall55.8%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

IpswichDDLWL
Nottingham ForestLDLLL

Head to head

All matches
4Ipswich
7Draws
9Nottingham Forest
23/10/26 · Ipswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest
15/3/25 · Ipswich 2–4 Nottingham Forest
3/3/25 · Nottingham Forest 1–1 Ipswich
30/11/24 · Nottingham Forest 1–0 Ipswich
16/3/19 · Ipswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest
1/12/18 · Nottingham Forest 2–0 Ipswich

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.4%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?

Ipswich +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.96); Both teams to score (1.62).

Who will win Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?

We estimate: Ipswich win 30%, draw 28%, Nottingham Forest win 42%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 23 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich. Referee: Thomas Bramall, England.

Who will be missing?

Ipswich: S. Lukic, J. Taylor. Nottingham Forest: Igor Jesus, N. Savona. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.83); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 46% (odds 2.14).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 59% (odds 1.62).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.7%), then 1–2 (9.0%) and 0–1 (9.0%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Everton vs Coventry 6 NovLeeds vs Tottenham 7 NovFulham vs Newcastle 7 NovArsenal vs Hull City 7 NovNottingham Forest vs Manchester City 7 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.