Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Le Puy Foot play Caen at home on 31 October 2026 · 13:45 at Stade Charles Massot (Espaly-Saint Marcel). For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Le Puy Foot vs Caen: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Le Puy Foot are 6th in the table, on 17 points after 11 matches (5W 2D 4L), and Caen are 4th, on 19 points (6W 1D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average Le Puy Foot score 1.2 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.9; for Caen the figures are 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Le Puy Foot: 5W 1D 4L, goals 12–9; Caen: 6W 0D 4L, goals 19–13.
- Head to head. From 3 meetings: 1 win for Le Puy Foot, 1 win for Caen and 1 draw, with the goals at 3–4.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–1 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and we rate it at 59%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 59% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 55% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 3; Le Puy Foot 1 win, 1 draw, Caen 1 win.
- An average of 2.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Le Puy Foot 12–9, Caen 19–13.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 55%.
- Out: Le Puy Foot 0, Caen 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 59%, best price 1.67). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Le Puy Foot: no absences. Absent for Caen: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Le Puy Foot vs Caen: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.41 | 3.55 | 3.10 |
| Market average | 2.22 | 3.40 | 2.86 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.20 | 76.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.71 | 1.67 | 55.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.16 | 2.08 | 44.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.76 | 2.64 | 34.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.57 | 58.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.23 | 41.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 10:09. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 9.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Le Puy Foot 1–1 Caen, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Le Puy Foot 6th (17 points), Caen 4th (19 points).
- Form in the competition: Le Puy Foot 5W 1D 4L (12:9), Caen 6W 0D 4L (19:13).
- H2H: 3 matches: Le Puy Foot 1W 1D 1L, goals 3–4.
- Absences: Le Puy Foot 0, Caen 0.
Who will win Le Puy Foot vs Caen?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Le Puy Foot vs Caen: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Le Puy Foot vs Caen: team news and absences
Le Puy Foot
- No reported absences
Caen
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  La Roche VF | 11 | 7-3-1 | 18:10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Rouen | 11 | 7-2-2 | 20:9 | 23 |
| 3 |  Versailles | 11 | 7-1-3 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 4 | Caen | 11 | 6-1-4 | 21:15 | 19 |
| 5 |  Cannes | 11 | 4-6-1 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 6 | Le Puy Foot | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 7 |  Concarneau | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 8 |  Amiens | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 9 |  Fleury 91 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 10 |  Gobelins | 11 | 4-4-3 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 11 |  Bastia | 11 | 4-3-4 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 12 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 11 | 3-4-4 | 16:17 | 13 |
| 13 |  Quevilly | 11 | 3-4-4 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 14 |  Orléans | 11 | 2-4-5 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 15 |  Valenciennes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 11:17 | 9 |
| 16 |  Villefranche | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:24 | 8 |
| 17 |  Aubagne | 11 | 2-1-8 | 6:17 | 7 |
| 18 |  Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 11 | 1-2-8 | 5:18 | 5 |
Recent matches
Le Puy Foot
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Le Puy FootDWWLWCaenDWLWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Le Puy Foot vs Caen?
Caen +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.95); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win Le Puy Foot vs Caen?
We estimate: Le Puy Foot win 41%, draw 27%, Caen win 32%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 13:45, venue: Stade Charles Massot, Espaly-Saint Marcel.
Who will be missing?
Le Puy Foot: no absences. Caen: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.71); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 45% (odds 2.16).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 59% (odds 1.67).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.5%), then 2–1 (8.9%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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