Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Chelsea against Tottenham on 24 October 2026 · 17:30 at Stamford Bridge (London), and Chris Kavanagh, England will referee. Chelsea (50%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Chelsea vs Tottenham: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Chelsea are 4th in the table, on 16 points after 9 matches (5W 1D 3L), and Tottenham are 9th, on 12 points (3W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. On average Chelsea score 2.4 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.9; for Tottenham the figures are 0.9 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Chelsea: 4W 1D 2L, goals 17–13; Tottenham: 1W 3D 3L, goals 6–10.
- Head to head. From 43 meetings: 24 wins for Chelsea, 8 wins for Tottenham and 11 draws, with the goals at 77–47.
What to expect
For us, Chelsea are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 62% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 61% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 43; Chelsea 24 wins, 11 draws, Tottenham 8 wins.
- An average of 2.9 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Chelsea 17–13, Tottenham 6–10.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 61%.
- Out: Chelsea 5, Tottenham 6.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 62%, best price 1.50). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Chelsea: P. Chavarria, E. Emegha, J. Gittens, R. James, E. Martinez. Absent for Tottenham: R. Bentancur, L. Bergvall, M. Mudryk, W. Odobert, X. Simons, D. Udogie. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Chelsea vs Tottenham: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.97 | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| Market average | 1.91 | 3.87 | 3.89 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.70 | 3.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 81.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.61 | 1.56 | 60.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.39 | 39.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.39 | 39.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.50 | 62.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.60 | 2.48 | 37.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 13:40. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Chelsea 1–1 Tottenham, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Chelsea 4th (16 points), Tottenham 9th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Chelsea 4W 1D 2L (17:13), Tottenham 1W 3D 3L (6:10).
- H2H: 43 matches: Chelsea 24W 11D 8L, goals 77–47.
- Absences: Chelsea 5, Tottenham 6.
Who will win Chelsea vs Tottenham?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Chelsea vs Tottenham: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Chelsea vs Tottenham: team news and absences
Chelsea
- P. Chavarriainjury · will miss the match
- E. Emeghamuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Gittensankle injury · will miss the match
- R. Jamesknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Martinezabsence · will miss the match
Tottenham
- R. Bentancurred card · will miss the match
- L. Bergvallknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Mudrykankle injury · will miss the match
- W. Odobertknee injury · will miss the match
- X. Simonsknee injury · will miss the match
- D. Udogieknee injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 | Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Chelsea
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
ChelseaWLWWLTottenhamWWWDLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Chelsea vs Tottenham?
Chelsea to win (1.97); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Chelsea vs Tottenham?
We estimate: Chelsea win 50%, draw 25%, Tottenham win 25%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 17:30, venue: Stamford Bridge, London. Referee: Chris Kavanagh, England.
Who will be missing?
Chelsea: P. Chavarria, E. Emegha, J. Gittens, R. James, E. Martinez. Tottenham: R. Bentancur, L. Bergvall, M. Mudryk, W. Odobert, X. Simons, D. Udogie. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.61); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 39% (odds 2.47).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 62% (odds 1.50).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.4%), then 2–1 (9.6%) and 1–0 (8.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.