Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
OH Leuven v Lommel United: 24 October 2026 · 17:15 at Den Dreef (Heverlee), with J. Boterberg refereeing. We have OH Leuven (50%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
OH Leuven vs Lommel United: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. OH Leuven are 14th in the table, on 9 points after 10 matches (2W 3D 5L), and Lommel United are 7th, on 15 points (4W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. On average OH Leuven score 0.8 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.8; for Lommel United the figures are 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. OH Leuven: 1W 2D 5L, goals 6–14; Lommel United: 3W 2D 3L, goals 9–9.
- Head to head. From 18 meetings: 10 wins for OH Leuven, 3 wins for Lommel United and 5 draws, with the goals at 36–21.
What to expect
For us, OH Leuven are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
What stands out is that the table favours the Lommel United, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 61% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 59% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 18; OH Leuven 10 wins, 5 draws, Lommel United 3 wins.
- An average of 3.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: OH Leuven 6–14, Lommel United 9–9.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 59%.
- Out: OH Leuven 0, Lommel United 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 61%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for OH Leuven: no absences. Absent for Lommel United: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
OH Leuven vs Lommel United: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.95 | 3.93 | 3.89 |
| Market average | 1.89 | 3.76 | 3.67 |
| Lowest odds | 1.83 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 80.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.58 | 59.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.33 | 40.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.45 | 38.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.36 | 39.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: OH Leuven 1–1 Lommel United, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: OH Leuven 14th (9 points), Lommel United 7th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: OH Leuven 1W 2D 5L (6:14), Lommel United 3W 2D 3L (9:9).
- H2H: 18 matches: OH Leuven 10W 5D 3L, goals 36–21.
- Absences: OH Leuven 0, Lommel United 0.
Who will win OH Leuven vs Lommel United?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
OH Leuven vs Lommel United: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
OH Leuven vs Lommel United: team news and absences
OH Leuven
- No reported absences
Lommel United
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge KV | 10 | 9-0-1 | 26:8 | 27 |
| 2 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 10 | 8-2-0 | 29:7 | 26 |
| 3 |  Gent | 10 | 8-1-1 | 19:6 | 25 |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 10 | 8-0-2 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 10 | 6-1-3 | 13:11 | 19 |
| 6 |  Genk | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 7 | Lommel United | 10 | 4-3-3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 8 |  KVC Westerlo | 10 | 4-2-4 | 25:25 | 14 |
| 9 |  Standard Liège | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  KV Mechelen | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 11 |  Zulte Waregem | 10 | 3-2-5 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 12 |  Antwerp | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 13 |  SK Beveren | 10 | 3-1-6 | 13:20 | 10 |
| 14 | OH Leuven | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 15 |  St. Truiden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 18:21 | 8 |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 10 | 2-1-7 | 13:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Cercle Brugge | 10 | 1-3-6 | 13:22 | 6 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 10 | 1-1-8 | 4:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
OH Leuven
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
OH LeuvenWDDWDLommel UnitedWDWDLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for OH Leuven vs Lommel United?
OH Leuven -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.92); Under 3.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win OH Leuven vs Lommel United?
We estimate: OH Leuven win 50%, draw 25%, Lommel United win 26%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 17:15, venue: Den Dreef, Heverlee. Referee: J. Boterberg.
Who will be missing?
OH Leuven: no absences. Lommel United: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.62); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 41% (odds 2.46).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 61% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.7%), then 2–1 (9.6%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.