Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Orléans play Villefranche at home on 31 October 2026 · 13:45 at Stade de la Source (Orléans). For us, Orléans (51%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Orléans vs Villefranche: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Orléans are 14th in the table, on 10 points after 11 matches (2W 4D 5L), and Villefranche are 16th, on 8 points (2W 2D 7L).
- Attack and defence. On average Orléans score 0.9 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.4; for Villefranche the figures are 0.9 scored and 2.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Orléans: 2W 3D 5L, goals 9–14; Villefranche: 2W 1D 7L, goals 9–23.
- Head to head. From 13 meetings: 3 wins for Orléans, 6 wins for Villefranche and 4 draws, with the goals at 11–17.
What to expect
For us, Orléans are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.6%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.83), and we rate it at 52%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 52% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 51% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 13; Orléans 3 wins, 4 draws, Villefranche 6 wins.
- An average of 2.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Orléans 9–14, Villefranche 9–23.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 51%.
- Out: Orléans 0, Villefranche 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 52%, best price 1.83). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Orléans: no absences. Absent for Villefranche: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Orléans vs Villefranche: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.85 | 3.72 | 4.26 |
| Market average | 1.78 | 3.49 | 3.99 |
| Lowest odds | 1.73 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.26 | 73.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.88 | 1.84 | 50.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.88 | 49.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.07 | 30.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.76 | 52.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.93 | 47.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 10:09. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 9.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Orléans 1–1 Villefranche, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Orléans 14th (10 points), Villefranche 16th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Orléans 2W 3D 5L (9:14), Villefranche 2W 1D 7L (9:23).
- H2H: 13 matches: Orléans 3W 4D 6L, goals 11–17.
- Absences: Orléans 0, Villefranche 0.
Who will win Orléans vs Villefranche?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Orléans vs Villefranche: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Orléans vs Villefranche: team news and absences
Orléans
- No reported absences
Villefranche
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  La Roche VF | 11 | 7-3-1 | 18:10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Rouen | 11 | 7-2-2 | 20:9 | 23 |
| 3 |  Versailles | 11 | 7-1-3 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Caen | 11 | 6-1-4 | 21:15 | 19 |
| 5 |  Cannes | 11 | 4-6-1 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Le Puy Foot | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 7 |  Concarneau | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 8 |  Amiens | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 9 |  Fleury 91 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 10 |  Gobelins | 11 | 4-4-3 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 11 |  Bastia | 11 | 4-3-4 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 12 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 11 | 3-4-4 | 16:17 | 13 |
| 13 |  Quevilly | 11 | 3-4-4 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 14 | Orléans | 11 | 2-4-5 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 15 |  Valenciennes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 11:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Villefranche | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:24 | 8 |
| 17 |  Aubagne | 11 | 2-1-8 | 6:17 | 7 |
| 18 |  Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 11 | 1-2-8 | 5:18 | 5 |
Recent matches
Orléans
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
OrléansDLDDLVillefrancheDWLLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Orléans vs Villefranche?
Villefranche +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.78); Both teams to score (1.83).
Who will win Orléans vs Villefranche?
We estimate: Orléans win 51%, draw 26%, Villefranche win 23%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 13:45, venue: Stade de la Source, Orléans.
Who will be missing?
Orléans: no absences. Villefranche: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.88); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 49% (odds 1.95).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 52% (odds 1.83).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.6%), then 1–0 (11.1%) and 2–1 (9.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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