Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Oxford United play Stockport County at home on 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at Kassam Stadium (Oxford). For us, Stockport County (47%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Oxford United vs Stockport County: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Oxford United are 3rd in the table, on 26 points after 13 matches (7W 5D 1L), and Stockport County are 2nd, on 26 points (8W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average Oxford United score 1.8 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.0; for Stockport County the figures are 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Oxford United: 5W 4D 1L, goals 18–10; Stockport County: 7W 2D 3L, goals 24–12.
- Head to head. From 1 meetings: 1 win for Oxford United, 0 wins for Stockport County and 0 draws, with the goals at 1–0.
What to expect
For us, Stockport County are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 61% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 59% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 1; Oxford United 1 win, 0 draws, Stockport County 0 wins.
- An average of 1.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Oxford United 18–10, Stockport County 24–12.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 59%.
- Out: Oxford United 0, Stockport County 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 61%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Oxford United: no absences. Absent for Stockport County: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Oxford United vs Stockport County: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.50 | 3.94 | 2.03 |
| Market average | 3.35 | 3.69 | 1.99 |
| Lowest odds | 2.97 | 3.26 | 1.95 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 79.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.63 | 1.60 | 58.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.33 | 2.27 | 41.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.49 | 37.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.36 | 39.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.5%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Oxford United 1–1 Stockport County, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Oxford United 3rd (26 points), Stockport County 2nd (26 points).
- Form in the competition: Oxford United 5W 4D 1L (18:10), Stockport County 7W 2D 3L (24:12).
- H2H: 1 match: Oxford United 1W 0D 0L, goals 1–0.
- Absences: Oxford United 0, Stockport County 0.
Who will win Oxford United vs Stockport County?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Oxford United vs Stockport County: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Oxford United vs Stockport County: team news and absences
Oxford United
- No reported absences
Stockport County
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | 8-5-1 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 | Oxford United | 13 | 7-5-1 | 22:11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton | 14 | 7-3-4 | 27:21 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | 6-4-4 | 25:15 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | 5-4-4 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 14 | 3-2-9 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Recent matches
Oxford United
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Oxford UnitedWDWDWStockport CountyWLDWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Oxford United vs Stockport County?
Oxford United +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 3.5 goals (1.52).
Who will win Oxford United vs Stockport County?
We estimate: Oxford United win 28%, draw 25%, Stockport County win 47%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Kassam Stadium, Oxford.
Who will be missing?
Oxford United: no absences. Stockport County: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.63); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 41% (odds 2.33).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 61% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.8%), then 1–2 (9.4%) and 0–1 (8.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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