Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Oxford United against Wigan on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Kassam Stadium (Oxford). Oxford United (49%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Oxford United vs Wigan: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Oxford United are 3rd in the table, on 26 points after 13 matches (7W 5D 1L), and Wigan are 21st, on 11 points (3W 2D 9L).
What to expect
For us, Oxford United are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and we rate it at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 55% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 52% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 52%.
- Out: Oxford United 0, Wigan 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 55%, best price 1.75). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Oxford United: no absences. Absent for Wigan: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Oxford United vs Wigan: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.02 | 3.62 | 4.20 |
| Market average | 1.90 | 3.52 | 3.82 |
| Lowest odds | 1.85 | 3.15 | 3.35 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.24 | 74.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.88 | 1.82 | 51.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.03 | 1.95 | 48.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.16 | 2.94 | 31.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.70 | 54.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.05 | 45.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Oxford United 1–1 Wigan, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Oxford United 3rd (26 points), Wigan 21st (11 points).
- Absences: Oxford United 0, Wigan 0.
Who will win Oxford United vs Wigan?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Oxford United vs Wigan: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Oxford United vs Wigan: team news and absences
Oxford United
- No reported absences
Wigan
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | 8-5-1 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 | Oxford United | 13 | 7-5-1 | 22:11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton | 14 | 7-3-4 | 27:21 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | 6-4-4 | 25:15 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | 5-4-4 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 | Wigan | 14 | 3-2-9 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Oxford United vs Wigan?
Draw or Wigan (X2) (1.95); Both teams to score (1.75).
Who will win Oxford United vs Wigan?
We estimate: Oxford United win 49%, draw 27%, Wigan win 24%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 20 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Kassam Stadium, Oxford.
Who will be missing?
Oxford United: no absences. Wigan: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.88); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 48% (odds 2.03).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 55% (odds 1.75).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.6%), then 1–0 (10.5%) and 2–1 (9.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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