Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Peterborough play Luton at home on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at ABAX Stadium (Peterborough). For us, Luton (47%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Peterborough vs Luton: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Peterborough are 22nd in the table, on 10 points after 13 matches (2W 4D 7L), and Luton are 4th, on 24 points (7W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average Peterborough score 0.9 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.8; for Luton the figures are 2.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Peterborough: 2W 4D 6L, goals 11–21; Luton: 6W 2D 4L, goals 24–20.
- Head to head. From 11 meetings: 3 wins for Peterborough, 6 wins for Luton and 2 draws, with the goals at 9–18.
What to expect
For us, Luton are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.0%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 65% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 64% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 11; Peterborough 3 wins, 2 draws, Luton 6 wins.
- An average of 2.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Peterborough 11–21, Luton 24–20.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 64%.
- Out: Peterborough 0, Luton 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 65%, best price 1.50). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Peterborough: no absences. Absent for Luton: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Peterborough vs Luton: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.49 | 4.06 | 2.02 |
| Market average | 3.30 | 3.83 | 1.96 |
| Lowest odds | 2.87 | 3.36 | 1.91 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.49 | 1.45 | 64.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.70 | 2.58 | 35.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.21 | 2.15 | 43.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.44 | 64.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.70 | 2.63 | 35.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 09:44. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.5%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Peterborough 1–1 Luton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Peterborough 22nd (10 points), Luton 4th (24 points).
- Form in the competition: Peterborough 2W 4D 6L (11:21), Luton 6W 2D 4L (24:20).
- H2H: 11 matches: Peterborough 3W 2D 6L, goals 9–18.
- Absences: Peterborough 0, Luton 0.
Who will win Peterborough vs Luton?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Peterborough vs Luton: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Peterborough vs Luton: team news and absences
Peterborough
- No reported absences
Luton
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | 8-5-1 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | 7-5-1 | 22:11 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton | 14 | 7-3-4 | 27:21 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | 6-4-4 | 25:15 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | 5-4-4 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 14 | 3-2-9 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 22 | Peterborough | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Recent matches
Peterborough
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
PeterboroughLDLDWLutonDWWWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Peterborough vs Luton?
Peterborough +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Peterborough vs Luton?
We estimate: Peterborough win 28%, draw 24%, Luton win 47%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: ABAX Stadium, Peterborough.
Who will be missing?
Peterborough: no absences. Luton: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 64% (odds 1.49); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 36% (odds 2.70).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 65% (odds 1.50).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.0%), then 1–2 (9.3%) and 0–1 (7.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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