Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Luton play Leicester at home on 24 October 2026 · 12:30 at Kenilworth Road (Luton). For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Luton vs Leicester: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Luton are 4th in the table, on 24 points after 14 matches (7W 3D 4L), and Leicester are 10th, on 19 points (5W 4D 4L).
- Head to head. From 2 meetings: 1 win for Luton, 1 win for Leicester and 0 draws, with the goals at 2–5.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (10.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 65% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 63% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 2; Luton 1 win, 0 draws, Leicester 1 win.
- An average of 3.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 63%.
- Out: Luton 0, Leicester 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 57%, best price 1.65). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Luton: no absences. Absent for Leicester: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Luton vs Leicester: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.27 | 3.92 | 2.91 |
| Market average | 2.22 | 3.79 | 2.85 |
| Lowest odds | 2.18 | 3.60 | 2.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.13 | 82.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.47 | 63.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.52 | 36.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.31 | 2.20 | 42.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.42 | 65.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.67 | 34.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 10:05. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Luton 1–1 Leicester, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Luton 4th (24 points), Leicester 10th (19 points).
- H2H: 2 matches: Luton 1W 0D 1L, goals 2–5.
- Absences: Luton 0, Leicester 0.
Who will win Luton vs Leicester?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Luton vs Leicester: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Luton vs Leicester: team news and absences
Luton
- No reported absences
Leicester
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | 8-5-1 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | 7-5-1 | 22:11 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton | 14 | 7-3-4 | 27:21 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | 6-4-4 | 25:15 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 | Leicester | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | 5-4-4 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 14 | 3-2-9 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
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Luton
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Luton vs Leicester?
Luton +0 (Asian handicap) (1.72); Over 2.5 goals (1.52).
Who will win Luton vs Leicester?
We estimate: Luton win 42%, draw 25%, Leicester win 33%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 12:30, venue: Kenilworth Road, Luton.
Who will be missing?
Luton: no absences. Leicester: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 63% (odds 1.52); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 37% (odds 2.63).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 65% (odds 1.44).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.4%), then 2–1 (8.8%) and 1–2 (7.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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