Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Pisa v Palermo: 28 October 2026 · 18:00 at Arena Garibaldi (Pizza), with Daniele Chiffi refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Pisa vs Palermo: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Pisa are 8th in the table, on 15 points after 10 matches (4W 3D 3L), and Palermo are 1st, on 26 points (8W 2D 0L).
- Attack and defence. On average Pisa score 1.9 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.3; for Palermo the figures are 2.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Pisa: 4W 2D 2L, goals 15–10; Palermo: 7W 1D 0L, goals 18–8.
- Head to head. From 8 meetings: 4 wins for Pisa, 1 win for Palermo and 3 draws, with the goals at 22–14.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–1 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
What stands out is that the table favours the Palermo, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 61% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 56% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 8; Pisa 4 wins, 3 draws, Palermo 1 win.
- An average of 4.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Pisa 15–10, Palermo 18–8.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 56%.
- Out: Pisa 0, Palermo 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 61%, best price 1.53). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Pisa: no absences. Absent for Palermo: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Pisa vs Palermo: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.34 | 3.38 | 3.21 |
| Market average | 2.29 | 3.32 | 3.08 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.28 | 3.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.19 | 78.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.68 | 56.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.17 | 43.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.87 | 2.58 | 36.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.52 | 60.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.37 | 39.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Pisa 1–1 Palermo, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Pisa 8th (15 points), Palermo 1st (26 points).
- Form in the competition: Pisa 4W 2D 2L (15:10), Palermo 7W 1D 0L (18:8).
- H2H: 8 matches: Pisa 4W 3D 1L, goals 22–14.
- Absences: Pisa 0, Palermo 0.
Who will win Pisa vs Palermo?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Pisa vs Palermo: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Pisa vs Palermo: team news and absences
Pisa
- No reported absences
Palermo
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Pisa
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
PisaLDDWWPalermoWDWWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Pisa vs Palermo?
Over 2.5 goals (1.76); Pisa or draw (1X) (1.40).
Who will win Pisa vs Palermo?
We estimate: Pisa win 41%, draw 28%, Palermo win 31%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 28 October 2026, kick-off: 18:00, venue: Arena Garibaldi, Pizza. Referee: Daniele Chiffi.
Who will be missing?
Pisa: no absences. Palermo: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.76); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 44% (odds 2.20).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 61% (odds 1.53).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.5%), then 2–1 (8.9%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.