Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Palermo play Carrarese at home on 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Renzo Barbera (Palermo); the referee is Mattia Drigo. For us, Palermo (66%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Palermo vs Carrarese: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Palermo are 1st in the table, on 26 points after 10 matches (8W 2D 0L), and Carrarese are 15th, on 10 points (3W 1D 6L).
- Head to head. From 5 meetings: 3 wins for Palermo, 1 win for Carrarese and 1 draw, with the goals at 9–3.
What to expect
For us, Palermo are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–0 (10.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.60), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 55% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 62% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 5; Palermo 3 wins, 1 draw, Carrarese 1 win.
- An average of 2.4 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 62%.
- Out: Palermo 0, Carrarese 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Palermo: no absences. Absent for Carrarese: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Palermo vs Carrarese: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.45 | 5.01 | 7.00 |
| Market average | 1.42 | 4.70 | 6.52 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.14 | 81.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.51 | 61.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.43 | 38.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.32 | 40.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.68 | 55.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.16 | 2.08 | 44.7% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 12:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Palermo 2–0 Carrarese, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Palermo 1st (26 points), Carrarese 15th (10 points).
- H2H: 5 matches: Palermo 3W 1D 1L, goals 9–3.
- Absences: Palermo 0, Carrarese 0.
Who will win Palermo vs Carrarese?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Palermo vs Carrarese: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Palermo vs Carrarese: team news and absences
Palermo
- No reported absences
Carrarese
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Palermo vs Carrarese?
Over 2.5 goals (1.60); Palermo to win (1.45).
Who will win Palermo vs Carrarese?
We estimate: Palermo win 66%, draw 20%, Carrarese win 14%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: Renzo Barbera, Palermo. Referee: Mattia Drigo.
Who will be missing?
Palermo: no absences. Carrarese: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.60); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 38% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 55% (odds 1.75).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–0 as most likely (10.4%), then 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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