Premier League
Home › Predictions › Rouen vs Concarneau
Ligue 3 · Matchweek 11 · 31 October 2026 · 13:45

Rouen vs Concarneau: prediction, tip and odds, 31 October 2026, Ligue 3

WLWLW
2–1
1Rouen2.05
XDraw3.40
2Concarneau3.88

Best price · Updated 31/10/26, 10:09

FreshbetBet with Freshbet →
TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Rouen v Concarneau: 31 October 2026 · 13:45 at Stade Robert Diochon (Rouen). We have Rouen (46%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Rouen vs Concarneau: tip and prediction
Result
Draw or Concarneau (X2)
1.80
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.74
54%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

Bet now →

Rouen vs Concarneau: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Rouen are 2nd in the table, on 23 points after 11 matches (7W 2D 2L), and Concarneau are 7th, on 17 points (4W 5D 2L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average Rouen score 1.8 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.8; for Concarneau the figures are 1.3 scored and 0.9 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Rouen: 6W 2D 2L, goals 18–8; Concarneau: 4W 5D 1L, goals 13–9.
  4. Head to head. From 5 meetings: 2 wins for Rouen, 0 wins for Concarneau and 3 draws, with the goals at 7–5.

What to expect

We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.5%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.

In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.74), and we rate it at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 49% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 45% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 5; Rouen 2 wins, 3 draws, Concarneau 0 wins.
  2. An average of 2.4 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Rouen 18–8, Concarneau 13–9.
  4. Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 45%.
  5. Out: Rouen 0, Concarneau 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – no

Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 51%, best price 1.83). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Rouen: no absences. Absent for Concarneau: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Rouen vs Concarneau: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price2.053.403.88
Market average1.963.243.59
Lowest odds1.893.003.40
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.351.3469.2%
Over 2.5 goals2.122.0744.9%
Under 2.5 goals1.741.6955.1%
Over 3.5 goals3.903.6225.5%
BTTS – yes2.001.8848.9%
BTTS – no1.831.8051.1%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 10:09. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 9.8%.

All bookmakers →

At a glance

  • Likely result: Rouen 1–1 Concarneau, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Rouen 2nd (23 points), Concarneau 7th (17 points).
  • Form in the competition: Rouen 6W 2D 2L (18:8), Concarneau 4W 5D 1L (13:9).
  • H2H: 5 matches: Rouen 2W 3D 0L, goals 7–5.
  • Absences: Rouen 0, Concarneau 0.

Who will win Rouen vs Concarneau?

Rouen46%
Draw28%
Concarneau25%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Rouen vs Concarneau: more betting tips

Rouen or draw (1X)74.6% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals74.5% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.28
Likely
Over 1.5 goals69.2% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.35
Likely
Under 2.5 goals55.1% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.74
Possible
BTTS – no51.1% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.83
Possible
BTTS – yes48.9% · fair odds 2.05 · best 2.00
Outsider
Rouen to win46.5% · fair odds 2.15 · best 2.05
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals44.9% · fair odds 2.23 · best 2.12
Outsider
Draw28.1% · fair odds 3.56 · best 3.40
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals25.5% · fair odds 3.92 · best 3.90
Outsider
Concarneau to win25.4% · fair odds 3.93 · best 3.88
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.72 · Under 2.00
probability of over 53.8%

Correct score prediction

1 : 112.5%
1 : 012.5%
2 : 19.1%
2 : 09.1%
0 : 18.6%
0 : 08.6%

Rouen vs Concarneau: team news and absences

Rouen

  • No reported absences

Concarneau

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1La Roche VF117-3-118:1024
2Rouen117-2-220:923
3Versailles117-1-319:1322
4Caen116-1-421:1519
5Cannes114-6-114:718
6Le Puy Foot115-2-414:1117
7Concarneau114-5-214:1117
8Amiens114-5-214:517
9Fleury 91114-4-317:1316
10Gobelins114-4-311:1116
11Bastia114-3-410:1215
12Thionville Lusitanos113-4-416:1713
13Quevilly113-4-411:1613
14Orléans112-4-510:1510
15Valenciennes112-3-611:179
16Villefranche112-2-710:248
17Aubagne112-1-86:177
18Bourg-en-bresse 01111-2-85:185

Recent matches

Rouen

31 OctWRouen 2–1 Concarneau
17 OctLGobelins 3–1 Rouen
3 OctWRouen 2–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01
24 SeptLCaen 3–2 Rouen
19 SeptWRouen 1–0 Aubagne

Concarneau

31 OctLRouen 2–1 Concarneau
17 OctDConcarneau 1–1 Bastia
3 OctWConcarneau 2–1 Gobelins
26 SeptDBourg-en-bresse 01 1–1 Concarneau
19 SeptWConcarneau 2–0 Caen

Home and away

Rouen at home6 matches: 4W 2D 0L, goals 9–2
Concarneau away5 matches: 1W 3D 1L, goals 5–5

Team comparison

RouenConcarneau
45%Form55%
56%Attack44%
40%Defence60%
67%Head to head33%
56%Goals44%
57.5%Overall42.5%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

RouenWLWLW
ConcarneauLDWDW

Head to head

All matches
2Rouen
3Draws
0Concarneau
31/10/26 · Rouen 2–1 Concarneau
17/4/26 · Concarneau 0–0 Rouen
21/11/25 · Rouen 0–0 Concarneau
28/2/25 · Rouen 4–3 Concarneau
27/9/24 · Concarneau 1–1 Rouen

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin9.8%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Rouen vs Concarneau?

Draw or Concarneau (X2) (1.80); Under 2.5 goals (1.74).

Who will win Rouen vs Concarneau?

We estimate: Rouen win 46%, draw 28%, Concarneau win 25%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 13:45, venue: Stade Robert Diochon, Rouen.

Who will be missing?

Rouen: no absences. Concarneau: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.12); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 55% (odds 1.74).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 49% (odds 2.00).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.5%), then 1–0 (12.5%) and 2–1 (9.1%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Valenciennes vs Orléans 5 NovCaen vs Versailles 7 NovBourg-en-bresse 01 vs Le Puy Foot 7 NovConcarneau vs Fleury 91 7 NovVillefranche vs Quevilly 7 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.