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Primeira Liga · Matchweek 2 · 19 October 2026 · 20:15

SC Braga vs GIL Vicente: prediction, tip and odds, 19 October 2026, Primeira Liga

1–2
1SC Braga1.70
XDraw4.00
2GIL Vicente5.78

Best price · Updated 19/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

SC Braga v GIL Vicente: 19 October 2026 · 20:15 at Estádio Municipal de Braga (Braga), with G. Correia refereeing. We have SC Braga (57%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

SC Braga vs GIL Vicente: tip and prediction
Handicap
GIL Vicente +1 (Asian handicap)
1.84
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.88
Combo
SC Braga + over 2.5 goals combined
3.03
33% · fair odds for the combo
56%Chance
1–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: SC Braga or draw (1X): 83% probability, best odds 1.18.

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SC Braga vs GIL Vicente: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. SC Braga are 8th in the table, on 14 points after 10 matches (4W 2D 4L), and GIL Vicente are 7th, on 15 points (4W 3D 3L).

What to expect

For us, SC Braga are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–0 (13.3%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.

In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.88), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 47% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 46% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 46%.
  2. Out: SC Braga 0, GIL Vicente 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – no

Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 53%, best price 1.82). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for SC Braga: no absences. Absent for GIL Vicente: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

SC Braga vs GIL Vicente: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.704.005.78
Market average1.643.735.41
Lowest odds1.533.505.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.391.3369.8%
Over 2.5 goals2.202.0646.3%
Under 2.5 goals1.881.7753.7%
Over 3.5 goals4.203.6825.5%
BTTS – yes2.051.9946.8%
BTTS – no1.821.7553.2%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 19/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.4%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: SC Braga 1–0 GIL Vicente, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: SC Braga 8th (14 points), GIL Vicente 7th (15 points).
  • Absences: SC Braga 0, GIL Vicente 0.

Who will win SC Braga vs GIL Vicente?

SC Braga57%
Draw25%
GIL Vicente17%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

SC Braga vs GIL Vicente: more betting tips

SC Braga or draw (1X)82.6% · fair odds 1.21 · best 1.18
Likely
Under 3.5 goals74.5% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.33
Likely
Over 1.5 goals69.8% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.39
Likely
SC Braga to win57.3% · fair odds 1.74 · best 1.70
Possible
Under 2.5 goals53.7% · fair odds 1.86 · best 1.88
Possible
BTTS – no53.2% · fair odds 1.88 · best 1.82
Possible
BTTS – yes46.8% · fair odds 2.14 · best 2.05
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals46.3% · fair odds 2.16 · best 2.20
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals25.5% · fair odds 3.93 · best 4.20
Outsider
Draw25.2% · fair odds 3.96 · best 4.00
Outsider
GIL Vicente to win17.4% · fair odds 5.74 · best 5.78
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.03 · Under 1.71
probability of over 45.7%

Correct score prediction

1 : 013.3%
2 : 011.3%
1 : 111.3%
2 : 19.6%
0 : 07.8%
0 : 16.6%

SC Braga vs GIL Vicente: team news and absences

SC Braga

  • No reported absences

GIL Vicente

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1FC Porto1010-0-025:430
2Benfica108-1-127:825
3Sporting CP106-3-123:1121
4Santa Clara106-3-115:621
5Arouca106-2-213:720
6Académico Viseu106-2-215:1220
7GIL Vicente104-3-38:715
8SC Braga104-2-412:1114
9Moreirense104-2-413:1714
10Alverca103-2-513:1411
11Famalicão102-4-414:1410
12Estrela102-4-415:1910
13Vitória SC102-3-510:109
14Marítimo102-2-69:218
15Nacional102-1-710:197
16Rio Ave102-1-79:237
17Casa Pia102-1-75:197
18Estoril100-2-85:192

Recent matches

SC Braga

1 NovWSC Braga 3–0 Famalicão
25 OctLNacional 1–0 SC Braga
22 OctWSC Braga 2–0 Gent
19 OctLSC Braga 1–2 GIL Vicente
15 OctLFC Copenhagen 3–0 SC Braga

GIL Vicente

2 NovDGIL Vicente 0–0 Vitória SC
24 OctLGIL Vicente 0–1 FC Porto
19 OctWSC Braga 1–2 GIL Vicente
9 OctWMoreirense 0–1 GIL Vicente
19 SeptDGIL Vicente 1–1 Marítimo

Home and away

SC Braga at home5 matches: 3W 0D 2L, goals 7–5
GIL Vicente away4 matches: 2W 1D 1L, goals 4–4

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.4%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for SC Braga vs GIL Vicente?

GIL Vicente +1 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Under 2.5 goals (1.88).

Who will win SC Braga vs GIL Vicente?

We estimate: SC Braga win 57%, draw 25%, GIL Vicente win 17%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 19 October 2026, kick-off: 20:15, venue: Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga. Referee: G. Correia.

Who will be missing?

SC Braga: no absences. GIL Vicente: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.20); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 54% (odds 1.88).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 47% (odds 2.05).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–0 as most likely (13.3%), then 2–0 (11.3%) and 1–1 (11.3%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Famalicão vs Arouca 6 NovNacional vs Académico Viseu 7 NovAlverca vs Casa Pia 7 NovSporting CP vs Moreirense 7 NovSanta Clara vs GIL Vicente 8 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.