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Primeira Liga · Matchweek 10 · 2 November 2026 · 20:15

GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC: prediction, tip and odds, 2 November 2026, Primeira Liga

0–0
1GIL Vicente3.00
XDraw3.30
2Vitória SC2.63

Best price · Updated 2/11/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

GIL Vicente v Vitória SC: 2 November 2026 · 20:15 at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos (Barcelos), with Helder Carvalho refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC: tip and prediction
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.75
Result (even match)
Draw or Vitória SC (X2)
1.44
56%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. GIL Vicente are 7th in the table, on 15 points after 10 matches (4W 3D 3L), and Vitória SC are 13th, on 9 points (2W 3D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average GIL Vicente score 0.9 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.8; for Vitória SC the figures are 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. GIL Vicente: 4W 2D 3L, goals 8–7; Vitória SC: 2W 2D 5L, goals 10–10.
  4. Head to head. From 24 meetings: 7 wins for GIL Vicente, 10 wins for Vitória SC and 7 draws, with the goals at 26–37.

What to expect

We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (13.0%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.

What stands out is that the table favours the GIL Vicente, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the away side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.

In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), and we rate it at 56%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 51% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 44% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 24; GIL Vicente 7 wins, 7 draws, Vitória SC 10 wins.
  2. An average of 2.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: GIL Vicente 8–7, Vitória SC 10–10.
  4. Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 44%.
  5. Out: GIL Vicente 0, Vitória SC 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 51%, best price 1.87). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for GIL Vicente: no absences. Absent for Vitória SC: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price3.003.302.63
Market average2.893.142.53
Lowest odds2.803.002.40
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.421.3768.6%
Over 2.5 goals2.252.1544.1%
Under 2.5 goals1.751.6955.9%
Over 3.5 goals4.003.8424.4%
BTTS – yes1.871.8251.1%
BTTS – no2.051.9148.9%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 2/11/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.9%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: GIL Vicente 1–1 Vitória SC, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: GIL Vicente 7th (15 points), Vitória SC 13th (9 points).
  • Form in the competition: GIL Vicente 4W 2D 3L (8:7), Vitória SC 2W 2D 5L (10:10).
  • H2H: 24 matches: GIL Vicente 7W 7D 10L, goals 26–37.
  • Absences: GIL Vicente 0, Vitória SC 0.

Who will win GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC?

GIL Vicente33%
Draw30%
Vitória SC37%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC: more betting tips

Under 3.5 goals75.6% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.27
Likely
Over 1.5 goals68.6% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.42
Likely
Draw or Vitória SC (X2)67.4% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.44
Likely
Under 2.5 goals55.9% · fair odds 1.79 · best 1.75
Possible
BTTS – yes51.1% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.87
Possible
BTTS – no48.9% · fair odds 2.05 · best 2.05
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals44.1% · fair odds 2.27 · best 2.25
Outsider
Vitória SC to win37.3% · fair odds 2.68 · best 2.63
Outsider
GIL Vicente to win32.6% · fair odds 3.06 · best 3.00
Outsider
Draw30.1% · fair odds 3.32 · best 3.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals24.4% · fair odds 4.10 · best 4.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.08 · Under 1.67
probability of over 44.5%

Correct score prediction

1 : 113.0%
0 : 111.3%
1 : 010.4%
0 : 09.1%
1 : 28.2%
2 : 17.5%

GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC: team news and absences

GIL Vicente

  • No reported absences

Vitória SC

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1FC Porto1010-0-025:430
2Benfica108-1-127:825
3Sporting CP106-3-123:1121
4Santa Clara106-3-115:621
5Arouca106-2-213:720
6Académico Viseu106-2-215:1220
7GIL Vicente104-3-38:715
8SC Braga104-2-412:1114
9Moreirense104-2-413:1714
10Alverca103-2-513:1411
11Famalicão102-4-414:1410
12Estrela102-4-415:1910
13Vitória SC102-3-510:109
14Marítimo102-2-69:218
15Nacional102-1-710:197
16Rio Ave102-1-79:237
17Casa Pia102-1-75:197
18Estoril100-2-85:192

Recent matches

GIL Vicente

2 NovDGIL Vicente 0–0 Vitória SC
24 OctLGIL Vicente 0–1 FC Porto
19 OctWSC Braga 1–2 GIL Vicente
9 OctWMoreirense 0–1 GIL Vicente
19 SeptDGIL Vicente 1–1 Marítimo

Vitória SC

2 NovDGIL Vicente 0–0 Vitória SC
23 OctWVitória SC 5–0 Marítimo
11 OctLBenfica 2–0 Vitória SC
20 SeptDVitória SC 1–1 Moreirense
12 SeptLAcadémico Viseu 2–1 Vitória SC

Home and away

GIL Vicente at home6 matches: 2W 2D 2L, goals 4–3
Vitória SC away5 matches: 0W 1D 4L, goals 3–8

Team comparison

GIL VicenteVitória SC
58%Form42%
42%Attack58%
45%Defence55%
7%Head to head93%
10%Goals90%
40.3%Overall59.7%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

GIL VicenteDLWWD
Vitória SCDWLDL

Head to head

All matches
7GIL Vicente
7Draws
10Vitória SC
2/11/26 · GIL Vicente 0–0 Vitória SC
18/4/26 · GIL Vicente 0–1 Vitória SC
8/12/25 · Vitória SC 0–0 GIL Vicente
11/4/25 · GIL Vicente 0–1 Vitória SC
2/12/24 · Vitória SC 4–0 GIL Vicente
8/2/24 · Vitória SC 3–1 GIL Vicente

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.9%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC?

Under 2.5 goals (1.75); Draw or Vitória SC (X2) (1.44).

Who will win GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC?

We estimate: GIL Vicente win 33%, draw 30%, Vitória SC win 37%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 2 November 2026, kick-off: 20:15, venue: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos. Referee: Helder Carvalho.

Who will be missing?

GIL Vicente: no absences. Vitória SC: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.25); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 56% (odds 1.75).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 51% (odds 1.87).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (13.0%), then 0–1 (11.3%) and 1–0 (10.4%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Famalicão vs Arouca 6 NovNacional vs Académico Viseu 7 NovAlverca vs Casa Pia 7 NovSporting CP vs Moreirense 7 NovSanta Clara vs GIL Vicente 8 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.