Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sevilla v Osasuna: 26 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán (Seville), with Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias refereeing. We have Sevilla (52%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Sevilla vs Osasuna: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Sevilla are 6th in the table, on 17 points after 11 matches (5W 2D 4L), and Osasuna are 15th, on 11 points (3W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. On average Sevilla score 1.6 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.8; for Osasuna the figures are 1.1 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sevilla: 4W 2D 3L, goals 14–16; Osasuna: 3W 2D 4L, goals 10–18.
- Head to head. From 26 meetings: 13 wins for Sevilla, 7 wins for Osasuna and 6 draws, with the goals at 39–25.
What to expect
For us, Sevilla are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–0 (14.3%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.77), and we rate it at 57%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 47% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 43% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 26; Sevilla 13 wins, 6 draws, Osasuna 7 wins.
- An average of 2.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Sevilla 14–16, Osasuna 10–18.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 43%.
- Out: Sevilla 2, Osasuna 4.
Alternative tip: BTTS – no
Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 53%, best price 1.80). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Sevilla: Marcao, M. Sierra. Absent for Osasuna: A. Bonel, R. Del Castillo, J. Herrando, A. Oroz. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Sevilla vs Osasuna: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.94 | 3.60 | 5.08 |
| Market average | 1.82 | 3.48 | 4.77 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.38 | 68.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.31 | 2.21 | 43.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.77 | 1.68 | 56.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.33 | 3.91 | 24.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.02 | 1.98 | 47.0% |
| BTTS – no | 1.80 | 1.76 | 53.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 26/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Sevilla 1–0 Osasuna, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sevilla 6th (17 points), Osasuna 15th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Sevilla 4W 2D 3L (14:16), Osasuna 3W 2D 4L (10:18).
- H2H: 26 matches: Sevilla 13W 6D 7L, goals 39–25.
- Absences: Sevilla 2, Osasuna 4.
Who will win Sevilla vs Osasuna?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Sevilla vs Osasuna: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Sevilla vs Osasuna: team news and absences
Sevilla
- Marcaomuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Sierrashoulder injury · will miss the match
Osasuna
- A. Bonelnot in the squad · will miss the match
- R. Del Castillomuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Herrandomuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Orozhamstring injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Sevilla
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
SevillaLWLDLOsasunaLLWLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Sevilla vs Osasuna?
Sevilla to win (1.94); Under 2.5 goals (1.77).
Who will win Sevilla vs Osasuna?
We estimate: Sevilla win 52%, draw 27%, Osasuna win 20%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 26 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Seville. Referee: Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias.
Who will be missing?
Sevilla: Marcao, M. Sierra. Osasuna: A. Bonel, R. Del Castillo, J. Herrando, A. Oroz. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.31); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 57% (odds 1.77).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 47% (odds 2.02).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–0 as most likely (14.3%), then 1–1 (12.2%) and 2–0 (10.7%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.