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La Liga · Matchweek 11 · 1 November 2026 · 13:00

Getafe vs Sevilla: prediction, tip and odds, 1 November 2026, La Liga

WLDLW
3–1
LWLDL
1Getafe3.49
XDraw3.12
2Sevilla2.55

Best price · Updated 1/11/26, 12:00

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Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Getafe v Sevilla: 1 November 2026 · 13:00 at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez (Getafe), with Victor Garcia Verdura refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Getafe vs Sevilla: tip and prediction
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.60
Result (even match)
Draw or Sevilla (X2)
1.35
62%Chance
0–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Getafe vs Sevilla: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Getafe are 13th in the table, on 12 points after 11 matches (3W 3D 5L), and Sevilla are 6th, on 17 points (5W 2D 4L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average Getafe score 0.5 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.5; for Sevilla the figures are 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Getafe: 2W 3D 5L, goals 5–15; Sevilla: 5W 2D 3L, goals 16–16.
  4. Head to head. From 32 meetings: 11 wins for Getafe, 17 wins for Sevilla and 4 draws, with the goals at 33–43.

What to expect

We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 0–1 (13.3%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.

In the goals market we pick Over 1.5 goals (odds 1.53), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 46% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 38% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 32; Getafe 11 wins, 4 draws, Sevilla 17 wins.
  2. An average of 2.4 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Getafe 5–15, Sevilla 16–16.
  4. Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 38%.
  5. Out: Getafe 5, Sevilla 2.

Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals

Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals (probability 62%, best price 1.60). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Getafe: Juanmi, M. Martin, J. Mojica, Z. Romero, C. Uche. Absent for Sevilla: Marcao, M. Sierra. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Getafe vs Sevilla: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price3.493.122.55
Market average3.313.002.41
Lowest odds3.102.812.36
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.531.4963.4%
Over 2.5 goals2.622.5038.0%
Under 2.5 goals1.601.5362.0%
Over 3.5 goals5.254.8819.3%
BTTS – yes2.102.0345.9%
BTTS – no1.801.7254.1%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 12:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.1%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Getafe 0–1 Sevilla, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Getafe 13th (12 points), Sevilla 6th (17 points).
  • Form in the competition: Getafe 2W 3D 5L (5:15), Sevilla 5W 2D 3L (16:16).
  • H2H: 32 matches: Getafe 11W 4D 17L, goals 33–43.
  • Absences: Getafe 5, Sevilla 2.

Who will win Getafe vs Sevilla?

Getafe29%
Draw32%
Sevilla39%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Getafe vs Sevilla: more betting tips

Under 3.5 goals80.7% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.19
Likely
Draw or Sevilla (X2)71.2% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.35
Likely
Over 1.5 goals63.4% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.53
Likely
Under 2.5 goals62.0% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.60
Likely
BTTS – no54.1% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.80
Possible
BTTS – yes45.9% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.10
Outsider
Sevilla to win39.5% · fair odds 2.53 · best 2.55
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals38.0% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.62
Outsider
Draw31.7% · fair odds 3.15 · best 3.12
Outsider
Getafe to win28.8% · fair odds 3.47 · best 3.49
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals19.3% · fair odds 5.18 · best 5.25
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.84 · Under 1.93
probability of over 51.3%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.49 · Under 2.55
probability of over 63.0%

Correct score prediction

0 : 113.3%
1 : 113.3%
1 : 011.1%
0 : 011.1%
1 : 28.0%
0 : 28.0%

Getafe vs Sevilla: team news and absences

Getafe

  • Juanmiknee injury · will miss the match
  • M. Martinred card · will miss the match
  • J. Mojicaabsence · will miss the match
  • Z. Romeromuscle injury · will miss the match
  • C. Ucheknee injury · will miss the match

Sevilla

  • Marcaomuscle injury · will miss the match
  • M. Sierrashoulder injury · will miss the match

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Barcelona1110-0-146:1230
2Atlético Madrid119-1-122:828
3Real Madrid119-0-228:1027
4Real Betis117-2-218:1523
5Real Sociedad116-1-420:2019
6Sevilla115-2-417:1917
7Athletic Club104-3-314:1015
8Deportivo La Coruña113-5-315:1414
9Villarreal113-3-515:1512
10Celta Vigo112-6-310:1012
11Alavés113-3-515:1712
12Rayo Vallecano103-3-415:2012
13Getafe113-3-58:1612
14Espanyol113-2-613:1411
15Osasuna113-2-611:2211
16Racing Santander113-2-615:2911
17Elche112-4-514:1810
18Levante112-4-516:2110
19Valencia112-3-68:179
20Málaga110-5-68:215

Recent matches

Getafe

1 NovWGetafe 3–1 Sevilla
25 OctLAthletic Club 4–0 Getafe
22 OctLGetafe 2–5 FC Lugano
19 OctDGetafe 1–1 Rayo Vallecano
15 OctDUniversitatea Craiova 1–1 Getafe

Sevilla

1 NovLGetafe 3–1 Sevilla
26 OctWSevilla 2–0 Osasuna
18 OctLReal Madrid 4–1 Sevilla
12 OctDLevante 3–3 Sevilla
19 SeptLSevilla 1–3 Barcelona

Home and away

Getafe at home6 matches: 3W 3D 0L, goals 8–4
Sevilla away6 matches: 2W 2D 2L, goals 10–12

Team comparison

GetafeSevilla
36%Form64%
20%Attack80%
53%Defence47%
29%Head to head71%
33%Goals67%
37.8%Overall62.2%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

GetafeWLDLW
SevillaLWLDL

Head to head

All matches
11Getafe
4Draws
17Sevilla
1/11/26 · Getafe 3–1 Sevilla
22/2/26 · Getafe 0–1 Sevilla
25/8/25 · Sevilla 1–2 Getafe
1/2/25 · Getafe 0–0 Sevilla
14/9/24 · Sevilla 1–0 Getafe
30/3/24 · Getafe 0–1 Sevilla

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.1%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Getafe vs Sevilla?

Under 2.5 goals (1.60); Draw or Sevilla (X2) (1.35).

Who will win Getafe vs Sevilla?

We estimate: Getafe win 29%, draw 32%, Sevilla win 39%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 1 November 2026, kick-off: 13:00, venue: Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe. Referee: Victor Garcia Verdura.

Who will be missing?

Getafe: Juanmi, M. Martin, J. Mojica, Z. Romero, C. Uche. Sevilla: Marcao, M. Sierra. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 38% (odds 2.62); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 62% (odds 1.60).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 46% (odds 2.10).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 0–1 as most likely (13.3%), then 1–1 (13.3%) and 1–0 (11.1%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Sevilla vs Alavés 6 NovMálaga vs Racing Santander 7 NovEspanyol vs Deportivo La Coruña 7 NovOsasuna vs Athletic Club 7 NovValencia vs Real Madrid 7 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.