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La Liga · Matchweek 9 · 18 October 2026 · 13:00

Osasuna vs Racing Santander: prediction, tip and odds, 18 October 2026, La Liga

1Osasuna2.04
XDraw3.80
2Racing Santander3.84

Best price · Updated 18/10/26, 09:50

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Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

It is Osasuna against Racing Santander on 18 October 2026 · 13:00 at Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona), and Juan Martínez Munuera, Spain will referee. Osasuna (48%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.

Osasuna vs Racing Santander: tip and prediction
Handicap
Osasuna -0.25 (Asian handicap)
1.78
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.53
56%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Osasuna or draw (1X): 74% probability, best odds 1.31.

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Osasuna vs Racing Santander: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Osasuna are 15th in the table, on 11 points after 11 matches (3W 2D 6L), and Racing Santander are 16th, on 11 points (3W 2D 6L).

What to expect

For us, Osasuna are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 58% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 58%.
  2. Out: Osasuna 0, Racing Santander 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 60%, best price 1.60). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Osasuna: no absences. Absent for Racing Santander: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Osasuna vs Racing Santander: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price2.043.803.84
Market average1.983.733.68
Lowest odds1.953.503.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1879.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.681.6558.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.382.2842.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.622.4837.7%
BTTS – yes1.601.5560.1%
BTTS – no2.382.3339.9%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 18/10/26, 09:50. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.7%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Osasuna 1–1 Racing Santander, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Osasuna 15th (11 points), Racing Santander 16th (11 points).
  • Absences: Osasuna 0, Racing Santander 0.

Who will win Osasuna vs Racing Santander?

Osasuna48%
Draw26%
Racing Santander26%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Osasuna vs Racing Santander: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals79.4% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.20
Likely
Osasuna or draw (1X)74.0% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.31
Likely
Under 3.5 goals62.3% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.53
Likely
BTTS – yes60.1% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.60
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.0% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.68
Possible
Osasuna to win48.4% · fair odds 2.07 · best 2.04
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals42.0% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.38
Outsider
BTTS – no39.9% · fair odds 2.51 · best 2.38
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals37.7% · fair odds 2.65 · best 2.62
Outsider
Racing Santander to win26.0% · fair odds 3.85 · best 3.84
Outsider
Draw25.7% · fair odds 3.90 · best 3.80
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.86 · Under 1.88
probability of over 50.3%

Correct score prediction

1 : 110.9%
2 : 19.5%
1 : 08.7%
2 : 07.6%
1 : 26.8%
0 : 16.2%

Osasuna vs Racing Santander: team news and absences

Osasuna

  • No reported absences

Racing Santander

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Barcelona1110-0-146:1230
2Atlético Madrid119-1-122:828
3Real Madrid119-0-228:1027
4Real Betis117-2-218:1523
5Real Sociedad116-1-420:2019
6Sevilla115-2-417:1917
7Athletic Club104-3-314:1015
8Deportivo La Coruña113-5-315:1414
9Villarreal113-3-515:1512
10Celta Vigo112-6-310:1012
11Alavés113-3-515:1712
12Rayo Vallecano103-3-415:2012
13Getafe113-3-58:1612
14Espanyol113-2-613:1411
15Osasuna113-2-611:2211
16Racing Santander113-2-615:2911
17Elche112-4-514:1810
18Levante112-4-516:2110
19Valencia112-3-68:179
20Málaga110-5-68:215

Recent matches

Osasuna

2 NovLDeportivo La Coruña 2–1 Osasuna
26 OctLSevilla 2–0 Osasuna
18 OctWOsasuna 2–0 Racing Santander
11 OctLReal Betis 5–2 Osasuna
19 SeptDOsasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano

Racing Santander

1 NovLRacing Santander 0–3 Real Madrid
24 OctWRacing Santander 2–1 Espanyol
18 OctLOsasuna 2–0 Racing Santander
11 OctDRacing Santander 2–2 Valencia
19 SeptLCelta Vigo 5–0 Racing Santander

Home and away

Osasuna at home5 matches: 2W 2D 1L, goals 4–3
Racing Santander away5 matches: 0W 0D 5L, goals 4–18

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.7%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Osasuna vs Racing Santander?

Osasuna -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.78); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).

Who will win Osasuna vs Racing Santander?

We estimate: Osasuna win 48%, draw 26%, Racing Santander win 26%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 18 October 2026, kick-off: 13:00, venue: Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona. Referee: Juan Martínez Munuera, Spain.

Who will be missing?

Osasuna: no absences. Racing Santander: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.68); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.38).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.60).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.9%), then 2–1 (9.5%) and 1–0 (8.7%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Sevilla vs Alavés 6 NovMálaga vs Racing Santander 7 NovEspanyol vs Deportivo La Coruña 7 NovOsasuna vs Athletic Club 7 NovValencia vs Real Madrid 7 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.