Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Hammarby FF play Sirius at home on 29 October 2026 · 17:30 at 3Arena (Stockholm); the referee is Glenn Nyberg. For us, Hammarby FF (65%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Hammarby FF vs Sirius: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Hammarby FF are 2nd in the table, on 55 points after 27 matches (17W 4D 6L), and Sirius are 1st, on 58 points (18W 4D 5L).
- Attack and defence. On average Hammarby FF score 2.1 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.8; for Sirius the figures are 2.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Hammarby FF: 15W 4D 6L, goals 52–21; Sirius: 17W 4D 4L, goals 56–32.
- Head to head. From 26 meetings: 16 wins for Hammarby FF, 3 wins for Sirius and 7 draws, with the goals at 53–28.
What to expect
For us, Hammarby FF are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.53), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 56% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 62% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 26; Hammarby FF 16 wins, 7 draws, Sirius 3 wins.
- An average of 3.1 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Hammarby FF 52–21, Sirius 56–32.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 62%.
- Out: Hammarby FF 1, Sirius 1.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Hammarby FF: B. Hedlof. Absent for Sirius: O. Liimatta. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Hammarby FF vs Sirius: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.47 | 5.01 | 6.49 |
| Market average | 1.43 | 4.65 | 6.12 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.39 | 5.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 81.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 1.51 | 61.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.54 | 2.42 | 38.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.37 | 2.27 | 41.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.64 | 56.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.13 | 43.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 29/10/26, 16:01. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Hammarby FF 2–1 Sirius, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Hammarby FF 2nd (55 points), Sirius 1st (58 points).
- Form in the competition: Hammarby FF 15W 4D 6L (52:21), Sirius 17W 4D 4L (56:32).
- H2H: 26 matches: Hammarby FF 16W 7D 3L, goals 53–28.
- Absences: Hammarby FF 1, Sirius 1.
Who will win Hammarby FF vs Sirius?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Hammarby FF vs Sirius: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Hammarby FF vs Sirius: team news and absences
Hammarby FF
- B. Hedlofhip injury · will miss the match
Sirius
- O. Liimattainjury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 27 | 18-4-5 | 58:34 | 58 |
| 2 | Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 |  Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 27 | 4-5-18 | 18:51 | 17 |
Recent matches
Hammarby FF
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Hammarby FFWWWWLSiriusWLLDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Hammarby FF vs Sirius?
Sirius +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Over 2.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win Hammarby FF vs Sirius?
We estimate: Hammarby FF win 65%, draw 20%, Sirius win 15%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 29 October 2026, kick-off: 17:30, venue: 3Arena, Stockholm. Referee: Glenn Nyberg.
Who will be missing?
Hammarby FF: B. Hedlof. Sirius: O. Liimatta. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.53); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 38% (odds 2.54).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 56% (odds 1.67).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.9%), then 2–0 (9.9%) and 1–1 (9.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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