St. Truiden v Zulte Waregem: 8 November 2026 · 18:15 at Daio Wasabi Stayen (Sint-Truiden), with A. Letellier refereeing. We have St. Truiden (53%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem betting prediction
Our top pick is Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.60, a selection the bookmakers price at 61% at best odds. Our back-up selection is a St. Truiden victory at odds 1.80, which the market puts at 53% at best odds. Both relate to the Jupiler Pro League Matchweek 11 fixture at the Daio Wasabi Stayen on 8 November 2026, kick-off 18:15.
Where the two clubs stand in this competition
St. Truiden sit 15th with 8 points from 10 matches in this competition, made up of 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats. They have scored 18 and conceded 21. At home they have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3, with 6 goals for and 8 against. Zulte Waregem are 10th on 11 points, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, and have scored 12 while conceding 16. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 8. All of these numbers cover only this competition, and while the gap between the teams is noticeable, it is modest.
Recent results that point in different directions
Looking at each team's last five outings across every competition gives a more pointed picture. St. Truiden took 2 wins and suffered 3 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Their latest match, a 1-2 home loss to OH Leuven on 1 November 2026, followed a 2-3 away defeat at Club Brugge KV, while the 1-0 victory at FC Midtjylland shows they can still keep a clean sheet. They kept a clean sheet in 2 of those five games, and that is the detail we rely on most.
Zulte Waregem's recent form is considerably rougher. Five defeats in five, with only 2 goals scored and 13 conceded. Four of those games saw them fail to find the net, and the 3-0 losses away to RAAL La Louvière and Anderlecht highlight their struggles on the road. The most recent was a 2-4 reverse at home against Club Brugge KV on 30 October. Keep in mind these five come from all competitions, so they are not a reflection of the league table.
Meetings and the absences
Over their last 25 encounters the head-to-head is nearly even: St. Truiden have claimed 10 wins and 4 draws, while Zulte Waregem have taken 11. In goals, Zulte have netted 40 to St. Truiden's 29, which makes the away side the more prolific attacker in this series. The latest clash, on 15 February 2026, ended 3-2 in St. Truiden's favour at home, and earlier results such as the 2-0 home success on 27 December 2022 and the 3-0 away victory on 17 September 2022 underline how lopsided some of these meetings have been.
No absences have been reported for either side, so no adjustment for injuries or suspensions has been made.
Why we like the under
Our top selection is Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.60. The reasoning rests on St. Truiden keeping a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5 outings, and the bookmakers price the under at roughly 61% at best odds of 1.60. We weigh that defensive pattern above the goals they have shipped over the season. Among the most probable scorelines, the wager pays out on 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0 and 1-2, and the only result that sinks it is 3-1. If the hosts stay compact, the away attack, which has found the net just once in its last five, has little chance of carrying the total beyond the line.
The home win as second tip
Our second pick is St. Truiden to win at odds 1.80, a price the market puts at 53% at best odds 1.80. The case rests on Zulte Waregem going without a win in their last five outings. We feel less confident here than with the under, since a 1-1 draw or a 1-2 defeat would both settle the bet against us. St. Truiden collect on 2-1, 1-0, 2-0 and 3-1. The most likely exact score, 1-1 at 10.3%, does not win for them, so we would stake this one smaller than the under.
Other bets we would take
If you're after a lower-risk pick, St. Truiden or draw (1X) at odds 1.25 is the one we favour most. Its probability sits at 77%, and it lines up with both of our tips, because a draw or a home win covers every outcome in our view except a defeat. For a more aggressive home bet, St. Truiden 0 on the Asian handicap at odds 1.36 returns the stake on a draw and wins on a home victory, so it needs less than the 1.80 price. We would also consider Under 10.5 corners at odds 1.75, which the market puts at 54%. The figures show nothing suggesting a corner-heavy night, and it suits a match expected to stay tight at the back.
St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.80 | 4.11 | 4.21 |
| Market average | 1.74 | 3.89 | 4.06 |
| Lowest odds | 1.69 | 3.52 | 3.68 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 80.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.58 | 59.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.35 | 40.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.39 | 39.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 59.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.37 | 2.30 | 40.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:49. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: St. Truiden 1–1 Zulte Waregem, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: St. Truiden 15th (8 points), Zulte Waregem 11th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: St. Truiden 2W 2D 6L (18:21), Zulte Waregem 3W 2D 5L (12:16).
- H2H: 25 matches: St. Truiden 10W 4D 11L, goals 29–40.
- Absences: St. Truiden 0, Zulte Waregem 0.
Who will win St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem: team news and absences
St. Truiden
- No reported absences
Zulte Waregem
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9-0-1 | 26:8 | 27 | |
| 2 | 10 | 8-2-0 | 29:7 | 26 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8-1-1 | 19:6 | 25 | |
| 4 | 10 | 8-0-2 | 21:12 | 24 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6-1-3 | 13:11 | 19 | |
| 6 | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:14 | 15 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4-3-3 | 13:11 | 15 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 25:25 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:16 | 12 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:18 | 12 | |
| 11 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 12:16 | 11 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:22 | 10 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3-1-6 | 13:20 | 10 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:17 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 18:21 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2-1-7 | 13:23 | 7 | |
| 17 | 10 | 1-3-6 | 13:22 | 6 | |
| 18 | 10 | 1-1-8 | 4:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
St. Truiden
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem?
Under 3.5 goals (1.60); St. Truiden to win (1.80).
Who will win St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem?
We estimate: St. Truiden win 53%, draw 24%, Zulte Waregem win 23%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 8 November 2026, kick-off: 18:15, venue: Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden. Referee: A. Letellier.
Who will be missing?
St. Truiden: no absences. Zulte Waregem: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.60); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 40% (odds 2.42).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.3%), then 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (8.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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