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Jupiler Pro League · Matchweek 11 · 8 November 2026 · 18:15

St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem: prediction, tip and odds, 8 November 2026, Jupiler Pro League

1St. Truiden1.80
XDraw4.11
2Zulte Waregem4.21

Best price · Updated 5/11/26, 03:49

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St. Truiden v Zulte Waregem: 8 November 2026 · 18:15 at Daio Wasabi Stayen (Sint-Truiden), with A. Letellier refereeing. We have St. Truiden (53%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem: tip and prediction
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.60
Result
St. Truiden to win
1.80
Combo
St. Truiden + over 2.5 goals combined
2.70
37% · fair odds for the combo
61%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: St. Truiden or draw (1X): 77% probability, best odds 1.25.

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St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem betting prediction

Our top pick is Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.60, a selection the bookmakers price at 61% at best odds. Our back-up selection is a St. Truiden victory at odds 1.80, which the market puts at 53% at best odds. Both relate to the Jupiler Pro League Matchweek 11 fixture at the Daio Wasabi Stayen on 8 November 2026, kick-off 18:15.

Where the two clubs stand in this competition

St. Truiden sit 15th with 8 points from 10 matches in this competition, made up of 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats. They have scored 18 and conceded 21. At home they have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3, with 6 goals for and 8 against. Zulte Waregem are 10th on 11 points, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, and have scored 12 while conceding 16. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 8. All of these numbers cover only this competition, and while the gap between the teams is noticeable, it is modest.

Recent results that point in different directions

Looking at each team's last five outings across every competition gives a more pointed picture. St. Truiden took 2 wins and suffered 3 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Their latest match, a 1-2 home loss to OH Leuven on 1 November 2026, followed a 2-3 away defeat at Club Brugge KV, while the 1-0 victory at FC Midtjylland shows they can still keep a clean sheet. They kept a clean sheet in 2 of those five games, and that is the detail we rely on most.

Zulte Waregem's recent form is considerably rougher. Five defeats in five, with only 2 goals scored and 13 conceded. Four of those games saw them fail to find the net, and the 3-0 losses away to RAAL La Louvière and Anderlecht highlight their struggles on the road. The most recent was a 2-4 reverse at home against Club Brugge KV on 30 October. Keep in mind these five come from all competitions, so they are not a reflection of the league table.

Meetings and the absences

Over their last 25 encounters the head-to-head is nearly even: St. Truiden have claimed 10 wins and 4 draws, while Zulte Waregem have taken 11. In goals, Zulte have netted 40 to St. Truiden's 29, which makes the away side the more prolific attacker in this series. The latest clash, on 15 February 2026, ended 3-2 in St. Truiden's favour at home, and earlier results such as the 2-0 home success on 27 December 2022 and the 3-0 away victory on 17 September 2022 underline how lopsided some of these meetings have been.
No absences have been reported for either side, so no adjustment for injuries or suspensions has been made.

Why we like the under

Our top selection is Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.60. The reasoning rests on St. Truiden keeping a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5 outings, and the bookmakers price the under at roughly 61% at best odds of 1.60. We weigh that defensive pattern above the goals they have shipped over the season. Among the most probable scorelines, the wager pays out on 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0 and 1-2, and the only result that sinks it is 3-1. If the hosts stay compact, the away attack, which has found the net just once in its last five, has little chance of carrying the total beyond the line.

The home win as second tip

Our second pick is St. Truiden to win at odds 1.80, a price the market puts at 53% at best odds 1.80. The case rests on Zulte Waregem going without a win in their last five outings. We feel less confident here than with the under, since a 1-1 draw or a 1-2 defeat would both settle the bet against us. St. Truiden collect on 2-1, 1-0, 2-0 and 3-1. The most likely exact score, 1-1 at 10.3%, does not win for them, so we would stake this one smaller than the under.

Other bets we would take

If you're after a lower-risk pick, St. Truiden or draw (1X) at odds 1.25 is the one we favour most. Its probability sits at 77%, and it lines up with both of our tips, because a draw or a home win covers every outcome in our view except a defeat. For a more aggressive home bet, St. Truiden 0 on the Asian handicap at odds 1.36 returns the stake on a draw and wins on a home victory, so it needs less than the 1.80 price. We would also consider Under 10.5 corners at odds 1.75, which the market puts at 54%. The figures show nothing suggesting a corner-heavy night, and it suits a match expected to stay tight at the back.

St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.804.114.21
Market average1.743.894.06
Lowest odds1.693.523.68
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.191.1680.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.601.5859.8%
Under 2.5 goals2.422.3540.2%
Over 3.5 goals2.452.3939.2%
BTTS – yes1.571.5559.8%
BTTS – no2.372.3040.2%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:49. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.8%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: St. Truiden 1–1 Zulte Waregem, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: St. Truiden 15th (8 points), Zulte Waregem 11th (11 points).
  • Form in the competition: St. Truiden 2W 2D 6L (18:21), Zulte Waregem 3W 2D 5L (12:16).
  • H2H: 25 matches: St. Truiden 10W 4D 11L, goals 29–40.
  • Absences: St. Truiden 0, Zulte Waregem 0.

Who will win St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem?

St. Truiden53%
Draw24%
Zulte Waregem23%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals80.4% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.19
Likely
St. Truiden or draw (1X)77.1% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals60.8% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.60
Likely
BTTS – yes59.8% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.57
Possible
Over 2.5 goals59.8% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.60
Possible
St. Truiden to win53.2% · fair odds 1.88 · best 1.80
Possible
Under 2.5 goals40.2% · fair odds 2.49 · best 2.42
Outsider
BTTS – no40.2% · fair odds 2.49 · best 2.37
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals39.2% · fair odds 2.55 · best 2.45
Outsider
Draw23.9% · fair odds 4.18 · best 4.11
Outsider
Zulte Waregem to win22.9% · fair odds 4.37 · best 4.21
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.00 · Under 1.73
probability of over 46.4%

Correct score prediction

1 : 110.3%
2 : 19.8%
1 : 08.6%
2 : 08.1%
3 : 16.2%
1 : 26.2%

St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem: team news and absences

St. Truiden

  • No reported absences

Zulte Waregem

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Club Brugge KV109-0-126:827
2Union Saint-Gilloise108-2-029:726
3Gent108-1-119:625
4Charleroi108-0-221:1224
5Anderlecht106-1-313:1119
6Genk104-3-318:1415
7Lommel United104-3-313:1115
8KVC Westerlo104-2-425:2514
9Standard Liège103-3-415:1612
10KV Mechelen103-3-413:1812
11Zulte Waregem103-2-512:1611
12Antwerp103-1-616:2210
13SK Beveren103-1-613:2010
14OH Leuven102-3-510:179
15St. Truiden102-2-618:218
16RAAL La Louvière102-1-713:237
17Cercle Brugge101-3-613:226
18Kortrijk101-1-84:224

Recent matches

St. Truiden

1 NovLSt. Truiden 1–2 OH Leuven
25 OctLClub Brugge KV 3–2 St. Truiden
22 OctWFC Midtjylland 0–1 St. Truiden
15 OctWSt. Truiden 2–0 FC Iberia 1999
11 OctLKV Mechelen 4–3 St. Truiden

Zulte Waregem

30 OctLZulte Waregem 2–4 Club Brugge KV
24 OctLRAAL La Louvière 3–0 Zulte Waregem
10 OctLZulte Waregem 0–2 Gent
19 SeptLAnderlecht 3–0 Zulte Waregem
13 SeptLZulte Waregem 0–1 Charleroi

Home and away

St. Truiden at home5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 6–8
Zulte Waregem away5 matches: 1W 2D 2L, goals 4–8

Team comparison

St. TruidenZulte Waregem
75%Attack25%
50%Defence50%
80%Head to head20%
71%Goals29%
65.6%Overall34.4%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

St. TruidenLLLLL
Zulte WaregemLLLLL

Head to head

All matches
10St. Truiden
4Draws
11Zulte Waregem
15/2/26 · St. Truiden 3–2 Zulte Waregem
23/8/25 · Zulte Waregem 0–2 St. Truiden
11/1/23 · Zulte Waregem 2–0 St. Truiden
27/12/22 · St. Truiden 2–0 Zulte Waregem
17/9/22 · Zulte Waregem 0–3 St. Truiden
2/4/22 · Zulte Waregem 0–2 St. Truiden

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.8%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem?

Under 3.5 goals (1.60); St. Truiden to win (1.80).

Who will win St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem?

We estimate: St. Truiden win 53%, draw 24%, Zulte Waregem win 23%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 8 November 2026, kick-off: 18:15, venue: Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden. Referee: A. Letellier.

Who will be missing?

St. Truiden: no absences. Zulte Waregem: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.60); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 40% (odds 2.42).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.57).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.3%), then 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (8.6%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Standard Liège vs SK Beveren 6 NovKVC Westerlo vs Charleroi 7 NovOH Leuven vs KV Mechelen 7 NovAntwerp vs Lommel United 7 NovRAAL La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge 7 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.

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