Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Stoke City v Preston: 31 October 2026 · 12:30 at bet365 Stadium (Stoke-On-Trent), with Adam Herczeg refereeing. We have Stoke City (53%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Stoke City vs Preston: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Stoke City are 4th in the table, on 26 points after 14 matches (8W 2D 4L), and Preston are 24th, on 5 points (1W 2D 11L).
- Attack and defence. On average Stoke City score 1.5 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.3; for Preston the figures are 0.8 scored and 2.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Stoke City: 6W 2D 4L, goals 18–16; Preston: 1W 2D 9L, goals 10–25.
- Head to head. From 17 meetings: 4 wins for Stoke City, 7 wins for Preston and 6 draws, with the goals at 14–20.
What to expect
For us, Stoke City are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.4%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and we rate it at 53%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 53% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 51% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 17; Stoke City 4 wins, 6 draws, Preston 7 wins.
- An average of 2.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Stoke City 18–16, Preston 10–25.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 51%.
- Out: Stoke City 5, Preston 6.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 53%, best price 1.80). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Stoke City: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher, S. Ingelsson. Absent for Preston: H. Clarke, L. Gibbs, L. Gibson, A. McCann, T. Carroll, L. Lindsay. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Stoke City vs Preston: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.83 | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| Market average | 1.77 | 3.71 | 4.34 |
| Lowest odds | 1.68 | 3.26 | 4.07 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.26 | 74.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.86 | 50.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.01 | 1.93 | 49.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.28 | 3.10 | 30.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.77 | 52.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.96 | 47.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 09:42. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Stoke City 1–1 Preston, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Stoke City 4th (26 points), Preston 24th (5 points).
- Form in the competition: Stoke City 6W 2D 4L (18:16), Preston 1W 2D 9L (10:25).
- H2H: 17 matches: Stoke City 4W 6D 7L, goals 14–20.
- Absences: Stoke City 5, Preston 6.
Who will win Stoke City vs Preston?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Stoke City vs Preston: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Stoke City vs Preston: team news and absences
Stoke City
- A. Ampahknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Bocatinjury · will miss the match
- A. Cresswellknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Gallagherinjury · will miss the match
- S. Ingelssonmuscle injury · will miss the match
Preston
- H. Clarkeknee injury · will miss the match
- L. Gibbsmuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. Gibsonnot in the squad · will miss the match
- A. McCannhamstring injury · will miss the match
- T. Carrollankle injury · doubtful
- L. Lindsayinjury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 14 | 5-2-7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 14 | 1-4-9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Stoke City
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Stoke CityWWDWLPrestonLLDLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Stoke City vs Preston?
Stoke City -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.81); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Stoke City vs Preston?
We estimate: Stoke City win 53%, draw 25%, Preston win 22%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 12:30, venue: bet365 Stadium, Stoke-On-Trent. Referee: Adam Herczeg.
Who will be missing?
Stoke City: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher, S. Ingelsson. Preston: H. Clarke, L. Gibbs, L. Gibson, A. McCann, T. Carroll, L. Lindsay. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.91); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 49% (odds 2.01).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 53% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.4%), then 1–0 (11.4%) and 2–1 (9.7%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.