Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Blackburn against Stoke City on 3 November 2026 · 19:45 at Ewood Park (Blackburn), and Andrew Kitchen will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Blackburn vs Stoke City: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Blackburn are 14th in the table, on 18 points after 14 matches (5W 3D 6L), and Stoke City are 4th, on 26 points (8W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average Blackburn score 1.5 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.5; for Stoke City the figures are 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Blackburn: 5W 3D 5L, goals 19–20; Stoke City: 7W 2D 4L, goals 20–16.
- Head to head. From 21 meetings: 6 wins for Blackburn, 11 wins for Stoke City and 4 draws, with the goals at 23–26.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.9%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.80), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 52% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 46% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 21; Blackburn 6 wins, 4 draws, Stoke City 11 wins.
- An average of 2.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Blackburn 19–20, Stoke City 20–16.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 46%.
- Out: Blackburn 4, Stoke City 6.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 52%, best price 1.80). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Blackburn: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, R. Morishita. Absent for Stoke City: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, L. Cisse, E. Galbraith, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Blackburn vs Stoke City: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.65 |
| Market average | 2.72 | 3.21 | 2.56 |
| Lowest odds | 2.64 | 2.90 | 2.43 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.32 | 70.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.04 | 46.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.76 | 53.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.70 | 3.53 | 26.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.77 | 52.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 1.95 | 47.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 3/11/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Blackburn 1–1 Stoke City, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Blackburn 14th (18 points), Stoke City 4th (26 points).
- Form in the competition: Blackburn 5W 3D 5L (19:20), Stoke City 7W 2D 4L (20:16).
- H2H: 21 matches: Blackburn 6W 4D 11L, goals 23–26.
- Absences: Blackburn 4, Stoke City 6.
Who will win Blackburn vs Stoke City?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Blackburn vs Stoke City: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Blackburn vs Stoke City: team news and absences
Blackburn
- A. Forshawhip injury · will miss the match
- M. Litherlandmuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. MillerAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- R. Morishitainjury · will miss the match
Stoke City
- A. Ampahknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Bocatinjury · will miss the match
- L. Cissenot in the squad · will miss the match
- E. Galbraithabsence · will miss the match
- A. Cresswellknee injury · doubtful
- S. Gallagherinjury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 14 | 5-2-7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 14 | 1-4-9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Blackburn
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
BlackburnLLWLWStoke CityWWDWLHead to head
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Blackburn vs Stoke City?
Stoke City +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.50); Under 2.5 goals (1.80).
Who will win Blackburn vs Stoke City?
We estimate: Blackburn win 34%, draw 29%, Stoke City win 36%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 3 November 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Ewood Park, Blackburn. Referee: Andrew Kitchen.
Who will be missing?
Blackburn: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, R. Morishita. Stoke City: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, L. Cisse, E. Galbraith, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.10); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 54% (odds 1.80).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 52% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.9%), then 0–1 (10.8%) and 1–0 (10.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.