Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Stoke City v Bristol City: 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at bet365 Stadium (Stoke-On-Trent), with James Bell, England refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Stoke City vs Bristol City: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Stoke City are 4th in the table, on 26 points after 14 matches (8W 2D 4L), and Bristol City are 15th, on 18 points (5W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. On average Stoke City score 1.6 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.5; for Bristol City the figures are 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Stoke City: 6W 1D 4L, goals 18–16; Bristol City: 4W 2D 5L, goals 12–15.
- Head to head. From 18 meetings: 6 wins for Stoke City, 9 wins for Bristol City and 3 draws, with the goals at 22–23.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.7%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.78), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 52% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 46% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 18; Stoke City 6 wins, 3 draws, Bristol City 9 wins.
- An average of 2.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Stoke City 18–16, Bristol City 12–15.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 46%.
- Out: Stoke City 5, Bristol City 3.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 52%, best price 1.83). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Stoke City: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher, S. Ingelsson. Absent for Bristol City: R. Dickie, N. Eile, E. Adebayo. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Stoke City vs Bristol City: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.47 | 3.35 | 3.24 |
| Market average | 2.37 | 3.24 | 3.03 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.34 | 69.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.16 | 2.06 | 45.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.78 | 1.74 | 54.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.62 | 25.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.79 | 51.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.93 | 48.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 13:58. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Stoke City 1–1 Bristol City, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Stoke City 4th (26 points), Bristol City 15th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Stoke City 6W 1D 4L (18:16), Bristol City 4W 2D 5L (12:15).
- H2H: 18 matches: Stoke City 6W 3D 9L, goals 22–23.
- Absences: Stoke City 5, Bristol City 3.
Who will win Stoke City vs Bristol City?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Stoke City vs Bristol City: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Stoke City vs Bristol City: team news and absences
Stoke City
- A. Ampahknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Bocatinjury · will miss the match
- A. Cresswellknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Gallagherinjury · will miss the match
- S. Ingelssonmuscle injury · will miss the match
Bristol City
- R. Dickieknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Eileillness · will miss the match
- E. Adebayonot in the squad · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 14 | 5-2-7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 14 | 1-4-9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Stoke City
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Stoke CityWWDWLBristol CityLWDLLHead to head
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Stoke City vs Bristol City?
Stoke City +0 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Under 2.5 goals (1.78).
Who will win Stoke City vs Bristol City?
We estimate: Stoke City win 40%, draw 29%, Bristol City win 31%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: bet365 Stadium, Stoke-On-Trent. Referee: James Bell, England.
Who will be missing?
Stoke City: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher, S. Ingelsson. Bristol City: R. Dickie, N. Eile, E. Adebayo. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.16); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 54% (odds 1.78).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 52% (odds 1.83).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.7%), then 1–0 (11.1%) and 0–1 (9.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.