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Championship · Matchweek 11 · 17 October 2026 · 15:00

Wrexham vs Preston: prediction, tip and odds, 17 October 2026, Championship

WLLWL
4–1
LLDLL
1Wrexham1.67
XDraw4.11
2Preston6.22

Best price · Updated 17/10/26, 12:01

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Played: final score 4–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Wrexham play Preston at home on 17 October 2026 · 15:00 at Racecourse Ground (Wrexham); the referee is Simon Hooper, England. For us, Wrexham (60%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.

Wrexham vs Preston: tip and prediction
Result
Wrexham to win
1.67
Goals
BTTS: no
1.79
Combo
Wrexham + over 2.5 goals combined
2.80
36% · fair odds for the combo
60%Chance
1–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Wrexham or draw (1X): 83% probability, best odds 1.14.

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Wrexham vs Preston: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Wrexham are 16th in the table, on 17 points after 14 matches (4W 5D 5L), and Preston are 24th, on 5 points (1W 2D 11L).

What to expect

For us, Wrexham are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–0 (12.7%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.

In the goals market we pick BTTS: no (odds 1.79), and we rate it at 52%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 48% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 49% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 49%.
  2. Out: Wrexham 0, Preston 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – no

Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 52%, best price 1.79). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Wrexham: no absences. Absent for Preston: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Wrexham vs Preston: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.674.116.22
Market average1.583.955.69
Lowest odds1.533.804.75
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.331.2872.5%
Over 2.5 goals2.001.9149.4%
Under 2.5 goals1.961.8650.6%
Over 3.5 goals3.503.1729.3%
BTTS – yes2.001.9447.6%
BTTS – no1.791.7652.4%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 17/10/26, 12:01. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.6%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Wrexham 1–0 Preston, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Wrexham 16th (17 points), Preston 24th (5 points).
  • Absences: Wrexham 0, Preston 0.

Who will win Wrexham vs Preston?

Wrexham60%
Draw24%
Preston17%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Wrexham vs Preston: more betting tips

Wrexham or draw (1X)83.4% · fair odds 1.20 · best 1.14
Likely
Over 1.5 goals72.5% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.33
Likely
Under 3.5 goals70.7% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.37
Likely
Wrexham to win59.6% · fair odds 1.68 · best 1.67
Possible
BTTS – no52.4% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.79
Possible
Under 2.5 goals50.6% · fair odds 1.98 · best 1.96
Possible
Over 2.5 goals49.4% · fair odds 2.02 · best 2.00
Outsider
BTTS – yes47.6% · fair odds 2.10 · best 2.00
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals29.3% · fair odds 3.41 · best 3.50
Outsider
Draw23.8% · fair odds 4.20 · best 4.11
Outsider
Preston to win16.6% · fair odds 6.03 · best 6.22
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.05 · Under 1.70
probability of over 45.3%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.93 · Under 1.80
probability of over 48.3%

Correct score prediction

1 : 012.7%
2 : 011.4%
1 : 110.8%
2 : 19.7%
0 : 07.1%
3 : 06.9%

Wrexham vs Preston: team news and absences

Wrexham

  • No reported absences

Preston

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Middlesbrough148-4-230:1928
2Wolves148-3-325:1727
3Birmingham147-5-226:1326
4Stoke City148-2-422:1726
5Swansea148-2-421:1626
6West Brom147-4-320:1525
7Southampton148-4-229:1424
8West Ham146-5-336:2123
9Sheffield United146-4-420:1722
10Portsmouth146-4-419:1622
11QPR145-6-322:1721
12Norwich146-0-827:2418
13Millwall145-3-623:2418
14Blackburn145-3-620:2218
15Bristol City145-3-616:1918
16Wrexham144-5-517:1917
17Bolton145-2-719:2617
18Cardiff143-6-522:2315
19Lincoln144-3-714:2415
20Watford144-2-813:2314
21Charlton143-5-611:2214
22Burnley141-7-618:2610
23Derby141-4-911:297
24Preston141-2-1112:305

Recent matches

Wrexham

4 NovWWrexham 2–0 Middlesbrough
30 OctLSheffield United 1–0 Wrexham
24 OctLBlackburn 2–0 Wrexham
17 OctWWrexham 4–1 Preston
13 OctLWrexham 1–2 West Brom

Preston

3 NovLPreston 2–3 Sheffield United
31 OctLStoke City 2–0 Preston
24 OctDPreston 1–1 West Brom
17 OctLWrexham 4–1 Preston
13 OctLBirmingham 4–0 Preston

Home and away

Wrexham at home7 matches: 3W 2D 2L, goals 12–8
Preston away7 matches: 0W 1D 6L, goals 5–17

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.6%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Wrexham vs Preston?

Wrexham to win (1.67); BTTS: no (1.79).

Who will win Wrexham vs Preston?

We estimate: Wrexham win 60%, draw 24%, Preston win 17%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 17 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: Racecourse Ground, Wrexham. Referee: Simon Hooper, England.

Who will be missing?

Wrexham: no absences. Preston: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 2.00); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 51% (odds 1.96).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 48% (odds 2.00).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–0 as most likely (12.7%), then 2–0 (11.4%) and 1–1 (10.8%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Derby vs Bolton 6 NovBristol City vs Norwich 7 NovPortsmouth vs Stoke City 7 NovWrexham vs Wolves 7 NovWatford vs Middlesbrough 7 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.