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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 12 November 2026 · 18:00

Tarancón vs Levante: prediction, tip and odds, 12 November 2026, Copa del Rey

Tarancón
1–2
1Tarancón24.00
XDraw11.00
2Levante1.11

Best price · Updated 12/11/26, 16:38

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Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Tarancón play Levante at home on 12 November 2026 · 18:00 at Estadio Municipal de Tarancón (Tarancón). For us, Levante (85%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.

Tarancón vs Levante: tip and prediction
Main tip · Goals
BTTS: no
1.63
Chance 60% · confidence medium
Second tip · Result
Levante to win
1.11
Chance 85% · confidence high
Combo
Levante + over 2.5 goals combined
1.53
66% · fair odds for the combo
0–3likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Levante (X2): 95% probability, best odds 1.02. With short odds on the result, a goals tip alongside it is our suggestion.
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Tarancón vs Levante: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

    What to expect

    For us, Levante are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–3 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 0–3 (11.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

    Odds of 1.11 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: BTTS: no (odds 1.63), which we rate at 60%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 40% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 71% chance.

    Prediction summary

    1. Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 71%.
    2. Out: Tarancón 0, Levante 0.

    Alternative tip: BTTS – no

    Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 60%, best price 1.63). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.

    Absences

    Absent for Tarancón: no absences. Absent for Levante: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

    Tarancón vs Levante: compare the odds

    Match result1X2
    Best price24.0011.001.11
    Market average19.089.211.09
    Lowest odds11.567.531.07
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.101.0786.3%
    Over 2.5 goals1.331.3071.0%
    Under 2.5 goals3.503.2029.0%
    Over 3.5 goals1.851.7952.0%
    BTTS – yes2.702.3140.4%
    BTTS – no1.631.5659.6%

    Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 12/11/26, 16:38. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.9%.

    All bookmakers →

    At a glance

    • Likely result: Tarancón 0–3 Levante, roughly 4 goals in total.
    • Absences: Tarancón 0, Levante 0.

    Who will win Tarancón vs Levante?

    Tarancón5%
    Draw10%
    Levante85%

    Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

    Tarancón vs Levante: more betting tips

    Draw or Levante (X2)94.9% · fair odds 1.05 · best 1.02
    Likely
    Over 1.5 goals86.3% · fair odds 1.16 · best 1.10
    Likely
    Levante to win84.7% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.11
    Likely
    Over 2.5 goals71.0% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.33
    Likely
    BTTS – no59.6% · fair odds 1.68 · best 1.63
    Possible
    Over 3.5 goals52.0% · fair odds 1.92 · best 1.85
    Possible
    Under 3.5 goals48.0% · fair odds 2.08 · best 2.00
    Outsider
    BTTS – yes40.4% · fair odds 2.48 · best 2.70
    Outsider
    Under 2.5 goals29.0% · fair odds 3.45 · best 3.50
    Outsider
    Draw10.2% · fair odds 9.81 · best 11.00
    Outsider
    Tarancón to win5.1% · fair odds 19.76 · best 24.00
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

    Tips on corners and cards

    Cornersline 9.5 corners
    Over 1.86 · Under 1.84
    probability of over 49.7%

    Correct score prediction

    0 : 311.7%
    0 : 211.5%
    0 : 48.9%
    1 : 37.6%
    0 : 17.5%
    1 : 27.5%

    Tarancón vs Levante: team news and absences

    Tarancón

    • No reported absences

    Levante

    • No reported absences

    Changes are possible before kick-off.

    Tarancón vs Levante: last matches of both teams

    Tarancón

    L 8/11/26 · Tarancón 0–2 La Solana
    D 31/10/26 · Noblejas 2–2 Tarancón
    D 24/10/26 · Tarancón 1–1 Villarrubia
    W 18/10/26 · Quintanar del Rey 1–2 Tarancón
    W 10/10/26 · Tarancón 1–0 Socuéllamos

    Levante

    D 8/11/26 · Celta Vigo 0–0 Levante
    L 31/10/26 · Levante 0–2 Atlético Madrid
    L 25/10/26 · Real Sociedad 2–1 Levante
    W 21/10/26 · Levante 3–1 Athletic Club
    D 16/10/26 · Deportivo La Coruña 1–1 Levante

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 £
    Net profit0 £
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin7.9%

    Questions and answers

    What do we tip for Tarancón vs Levante?

    BTTS: no (1.63); Levante to win (1.11).

    Who will win Tarancón vs Levante?

    We estimate: Tarancón win 5%, draw 10%, Levante win 85%.

    Where and when is the game being played?

    Date: 12 November 2026, kick-off: 18:00, venue: Estadio Municipal de Tarancón, Tarancón.

    Who will be missing?

    Tarancón: no absences. Levante: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

    Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

    We estimate over 2.5 goals at 71% (odds 1.33); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 29% (odds 3.50).

    Will both teams score?

    By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 40% (odds 2.70).

    Which correct score is the likeliest?

    We rate 0–3 as most likely (11.7%), then 0–2 (11.5%) and 0–4 (8.9%).

    What are your predictions based on?

    We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

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    18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.