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Eliteserien · Matchweek 24 · 18 October 2026 · 18:15

Tromsø vs KFUM Oslo: prediction, tip and odds, 18 October 2026, Eliteserien

LLDDW
1–1
1Tromsø1.46
XDraw4.86
2KFUM Oslo7.07

Best price · Updated 18/10/26, 16:05

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Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Tromsø play KFUM Oslo at home on 18 October 2026 · 18:15 at Alfheim (Tromsø); the referee is Sigurd Smehus Kringstad. For us, Tromsø (66%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.

Tromsø vs KFUM Oslo: tip and prediction
Handicap
KFUM Oslo +1.25 (Asian handicap)
1.91
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.51
Combo
Tromsø + over 2.5 goals combined
2.29
44% · fair odds for the combo
51%Chance
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Tromsø or draw (1X): 86% probability, best odds 1.11.

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Tromsø vs KFUM Oslo: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Tromsø are 6th in the table, on 40 points after 25 matches (11W 7D 7L), and KFUM Oslo are 10th, on 31 points (8W 7D 10L).
  2. Head to head. From 13 meetings: 4 wins for Tromsø, 3 wins for KFUM Oslo and 6 draws, with the goals at 17–13.

What to expect

For us, Tromsø are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–0 (11.0%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 52% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 58% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 13; Tromsø 4 wins, 6 draws, KFUM Oslo 3 wins.
  2. An average of 2.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 58%.
  4. Out: Tromsø 0, KFUM Oslo 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, best price 1.66). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Tromsø: no absences. Absent for KFUM Oslo: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Tromsø vs KFUM Oslo: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.464.867.07
Market average1.424.566.74
Lowest odds1.404.406.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.211.1779.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.661.6357.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.302.2442.1%
Over 3.5 goals2.652.5236.7%
BTTS – yes1.801.7752.5%
BTTS – no2.001.9547.5%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 18/10/26, 16:05. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.2%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Tromsø 2–0 KFUM Oslo, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Tromsø 6th (40 points), KFUM Oslo 10th (31 points).
  • H2H: 13 matches: Tromsø 4W 6D 3L, goals 17–13.
  • Absences: Tromsø 0, KFUM Oslo 0.

Who will win Tromsø vs KFUM Oslo?

Tromsø66%
Draw20%
KFUM Oslo14%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Tromsø vs KFUM Oslo: more betting tips

Tromsø or draw (1X)86.1% · fair odds 1.16 · best 1.11
Likely
Over 1.5 goals79.4% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.21
Likely
Tromsø to win65.7% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.46
Likely
Under 3.5 goals63.3% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.51
Likely
Over 2.5 goals57.9% · fair odds 1.73 · best 1.66
Possible
BTTS – yes52.5% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.80
Possible
BTTS – no47.5% · fair odds 2.10 · best 2.00
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals42.1% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals36.7% · fair odds 2.72 · best 2.65
Outsider
Draw20.5% · fair odds 4.89 · best 4.86
Outsider
KFUM Oslo to win13.9% · fair odds 7.21 · best 7.07
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.86 · Under 1.86
probability of over 50.0%

Correct score prediction

2 : 011.0%
1 : 010.5%
2 : 19.9%
1 : 19.4%
3 : 07.7%
3 : 16.9%

Tromsø vs KFUM Oslo: team news and absences

Tromsø

  • No reported absences

KFUM Oslo

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Viking2519-2-464:2659
2Bodø/Glimt2519-2-461:2359
3Molde2513-4-859:3943
4Rosenborg2513-4-849:3143
5Lillestrøm2513-3-936:3342
6Tromsø2511-7-743:3840
7Brann2510-2-1345:4232
8Vålerenga259-5-1143:4632
9Sarpsborg 08 FF258-7-1032:3931
10KFUM Oslo258-7-1032:4131
11Fredrikstad258-5-1229:4429
12Sandefjord257-6-1226:3427
13Ham-Kam257-6-1235:5327
14Aalesund255-9-1143:5724
15Kristiansund BK256-5-1429:5123
16Start255-4-1626:5519

Recent matches

Tromsø

1 NovLVålerenga 4–0 Tromsø
25 OctLViking 3–1 Tromsø
18 OctDTromsø 1–1 KFUM Oslo
11 OctDFredrikstad 1–1 Tromsø
20 SeptWTromsø 3–2 Ham-Kam

KFUM Oslo

1 NovDKFUM Oslo 2–2 Ham-Kam
25 OctDKristiansund BK 2–2 KFUM Oslo
18 OctDTromsø 1–1 KFUM Oslo
12 OctWKFUM Oslo 2–1 Vålerenga
18 SeptWSarpsborg 08 FF 1–3 KFUM Oslo

Home and away

Tromsø at home12 matches: 7W 4D 1L, goals 22–10
KFUM Oslo away12 matches: 2W 4D 6L, goals 15–25

Head to head

All matches
4Tromsø
6Draws
3KFUM Oslo
18/10/26 · Tromsø 1–1 KFUM Oslo
29/5/26 · KFUM Oslo 0–0 Tromsø
7/3/26 · KFUM Oslo 2–1 Tromsø
31/8/25 · Tromsø 2–0 KFUM Oslo
11/5/25 · KFUM Oslo 1–3 Tromsø
8/5/25 · Tromsø 0–1 KFUM Oslo

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.2%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Tromsø vs KFUM Oslo?

KFUM Oslo +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.91); Under 3.5 goals (1.51).

Who will win Tromsø vs KFUM Oslo?

We estimate: Tromsø win 66%, draw 20%, KFUM Oslo win 14%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 18 October 2026, kick-off: 18:15, venue: Alfheim, Tromsø. Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad.

Who will be missing?

Tromsø: no absences. KFUM Oslo: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.66); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.30).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 52% (odds 1.80).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 2–0 as most likely (11.0%), then 1–0 (10.5%) and 2–1 (9.9%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Kristiansund BK vs Vålerenga 7 NovRosenborg vs Start 7 NovTromsø vs Bodø/Glimt 8 NovLillestrøm vs Aalesund 8 NovSandefjord vs Molde 8 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.