Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Viking play Tromsø at home on 25 October 2026 · 13:30 at SR-Bank Arena (Stavanger); the referee is Marius Lien. For us, Viking (62%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Viking vs Tromsø: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Viking are 1st in the table, on 59 points after 25 matches (19W 2D 4L), and Tromsø are 6th, on 40 points (11W 7D 7L).
- Attack and defence. On average Viking score 2.6 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.0; for Tromsø the figures are 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Viking: 18W 2D 3L, goals 59–22; Tromsø: 11W 7D 5L, goals 42–31.
- Head to head. From 21 meetings: 9 wins for Viking, 5 wins for Tromsø and 7 draws, with the goals at 35–28.
What to expect
For us, Viking are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.48), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 64% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 21; Viking 9 wins, 7 draws, Tromsø 5 wins.
- An average of 3.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Viking 59–22, Tromsø 42–31.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 64%.
- Out: Viking 7, Tromsø 4.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 60%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Viking: K. Askildsen, A. Baertelsen, V. Berisha, S. Bjorshol, M. Roseth, H. Falchener, K. Haugen. Absent for Tromsø: L. Hien, S. Prestmo, M. Tonnessen, V. Erlien. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Viking vs Tromsø: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.55 | 4.86 | 5.82 |
| Market average | 1.51 | 4.57 | 5.30 |
| Lowest odds | 1.47 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.48 | 1.45 | 64.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.63 | 35.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.22 | 2.15 | 43.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.33 | 39.7% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 12:04. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Viking 2–1 Tromsø, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Viking 1st (59 points), Tromsø 6th (40 points).
- Form in the competition: Viking 18W 2D 3L (59:22), Tromsø 11W 7D 5L (42:31).
- H2H: 21 matches: Viking 9W 7D 5L, goals 35–28.
- Absences: Viking 7, Tromsø 4.
Who will win Viking vs Tromsø?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Viking vs Tromsø: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Viking vs Tromsø: team news and absences
Viking
- K. Askildsenred card · will miss the match
- A. Baertelsenfoot injury · will miss the match
- V. Berishathigh injury · will miss the match
- S. Bjorsholknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Rosethknee injury · will miss the match
- H. Falchenerknee injury · doubtful
- K. Haugenabsence · doubtful
Tromsø
- L. Hienred card · will miss the match
- S. Prestmoinjury · will miss the match
- M. Tonnesseninjury · will miss the match
- V. Erlieninjury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Viking
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
VikingLWWWWTromsøLLDDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Viking vs Tromsø?
Tromsø +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.78); Over 2.5 goals (1.48).
Who will win Viking vs Tromsø?
We estimate: Viking win 62%, draw 20%, Tromsø win 18%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 13:30, venue: SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger. Referee: Marius Lien.
Who will be missing?
Viking: K. Askildsen, A. Baertelsen, V. Berisha, S. Bjorshol, M. Roseth, H. Falchener, K. Haugen. Tromsø: L. Hien, S. Prestmo, M. Tonnessen, V. Erlien. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 64% (odds 1.48); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 36% (odds 2.75).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.8%), then 1–1 (8.9%) and 2–0 (8.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.