Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Vålerenga against Tromsø on 1 November 2026 · 18:15 at Intility Arena (Oslo), and Marius Hansen Grotta will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Vålerenga vs Tromsø: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Vålerenga are 8th in the table, on 32 points after 25 matches (9W 5D 11L), and Tromsø are 6th, on 40 points (11W 7D 7L).
- Attack and defence. On average Vålerenga score 1.6 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.9; for Tromsø the figures are 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Vålerenga: 8W 5D 11L, goals 39–46; Tromsø: 11W 7D 6L, goals 43–34.
- Head to head. From 22 meetings: 10 wins for Vålerenga, 6 wins for Tromsø and 6 draws, with the goals at 36–25.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (9.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
What stands out is that the table favours the Tromsø, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 67% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 65% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 22; Vålerenga 10 wins, 6 draws, Tromsø 6 wins.
- An average of 2.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Vålerenga 39–46, Tromsø 43–34.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 65%.
- Out: Vålerenga 3, Tromsø 3.
Alternative tip: Vålerenga or draw (1X)
Alternative tip: Vålerenga or draw (1X) (probability 65%, best price 1.50). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Vålerenga: C. Lange, E. Rashani, K. Finnsson. Absent for Tromsø: T. Nyhammer, S. Prestmo, M. Tonnessen. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Vålerenga vs Tromsø: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.43 | 4.01 | 2.84 |
| Market average | 2.31 | 3.78 | 2.69 |
| Lowest odds | 2.20 | 3.49 | 2.43 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.11 | 83.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.43 | 65.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.69 | 34.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.10 | 44.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.38 | 66.9% |
| BTTS – no | 3.00 | 2.81 | 33.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Vålerenga 1–1 Tromsø, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Vålerenga 8th (32 points), Tromsø 6th (40 points).
- Form in the competition: Vålerenga 8W 5D 11L (39:46), Tromsø 11W 7D 6L (43:34).
- H2H: 22 matches: Vålerenga 10W 6D 6L, goals 36–25.
- Absences: Vålerenga 3, Tromsø 3.
Who will win Vålerenga vs Tromsø?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Vålerenga vs Tromsø: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Vålerenga vs Tromsø: team news and absences
Vålerenga
- C. Langeabsence · will miss the match
- E. Rashaniinjury · will miss the match
- K. Finnssoninjury · doubtful
Tromsø
- T. Nyhammerabsence · will miss the match
- S. Prestmoinjury · will miss the match
- M. Tonnessenthigh injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 | Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Vålerenga
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
VålerengaWWWLDTromsøLLDDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Vålerenga vs Tromsø?
Tromsø +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Vålerenga vs Tromsø?
We estimate: Vålerenga win 40%, draw 25%, Tromsø win 35%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 1 November 2026, kick-off: 18:15, venue: Intility Arena, Oslo. Referee: Marius Hansen Grotta.
Who will be missing?
Vålerenga: C. Lange, E. Rashani, K. Finnsson. Tromsø: T. Nyhammer, S. Prestmo, M. Tonnessen. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 65% (odds 1.50); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 35% (odds 2.88).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 67% (odds 1.44).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (9.8%), then 2–1 (8.6%) and 1–2 (7.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.