Bet with Freshbet →Twente play Willem II at home on 22 November 2026 · 11:15 at De Grolsch Veste (Enschede). For us, Twente (90%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Twente vs Willem II: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Twente are 4th in the table, on 23 points after 11 matches (7W 2D 2L), and Willem II are 18th, on 2 points (0W 2D 9L).
What to expect
For us, Twente are the more likely winners. We estimate a 4–1 score, roughly 5 goals in all, with 3–0 (11.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
Odds of 1.07 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we rate at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 45% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 81% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 5 goals; over 2.5 goals: 81%.
- Out: Twente 0, Willem II 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – no
Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 55%, best price 1.70). With roughly 5 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Twente: no absences. Absent for Willem II: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Twente vs Willem II: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.07 | 19.50 | 46.00 |
| Market average | 1.05 | 14.56 | 34.25 |
| Lowest odds | 1.03 | 11.75 | 26.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.06 | 1.04 | 91.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.16 | 80.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 5.00 | 4.79 | 19.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.45 | 64.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.10 | 2.07 | 44.8% |
| BTTS – no | 1.70 | 1.68 | 55.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:20. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Twente 3–0 Willem II, roughly 5 goals in total.
- Table: Twente 4th (23 points), Willem II 18th (2 points).
- Absences: Twente 0, Willem II 0.
Who will win Twente vs Willem II?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Twente vs Willem II: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Twente vs Willem II: team news and absences
Twente
- No reported absences
Willem II
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
Twente
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Twente vs Willem II?
Over 3.5 goals (1.50); Twente to win (1.07).
Who will win Twente vs Willem II?
We estimate: Twente win 90%, draw 7%, Willem II win 3%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 22 November 2026, kick-off: 11:15, venue: De Grolsch Veste, Enschede.
Who will be missing?
Twente: no absences. Willem II: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 81% (odds 1.20); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 19% (odds 5.00).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 45% (odds 2.10).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 3–0 as most likely (11.5%), then 4–0 (10.6%) and 2–0 (9.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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