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Eliteserien · Matchweek 24 · 18 October 2026 · 16:00

Vålerenga vs Brann: prediction, tip and odds, 18 October 2026, Eliteserien

3–1
WLLLW
1Vålerenga2.30
XDraw4.05
2Brann2.89

Best price · Updated 18/10/26, 12:00

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Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Vålerenga play Brann at home on 18 October 2026 · 16:00 at Intility Arena (Oslo); the referee is Rohit Saggi. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.

Vålerenga vs Brann: tip and prediction
Result
Vålerenga or draw (1X)
1.50
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.89
66%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match

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Vålerenga vs Brann: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Vålerenga are 8th in the table, on 32 points after 25 matches (9W 5D 11L), and Brann are 7th, on 32 points (10W 2D 13L).
  2. Head to head. From 22 meetings: 11 wins for Vålerenga, 8 wins for Brann and 3 draws, with the goals at 38–35.

What to expect

We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (9.2%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.89), and we rate it at 51%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 69% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 69% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 22; Vålerenga 11 wins, 3 draws, Brann 8 wins.
  2. An average of 3.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 69%.
  4. Out: Vålerenga 0, Brann 0.

Alternative tip: Vålerenga or draw (1X)

Alternative tip: Vålerenga or draw (1X) (probability 66%, best price 1.50). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Vålerenga: no absences. Absent for Brann: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Vålerenga vs Brann: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price2.304.052.89
Market average2.223.892.76
Lowest odds2.153.702.70
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.121.0886.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.401.3568.6%
Under 2.5 goals3.102.9631.4%
Over 3.5 goals1.991.9149.2%
BTTS – yes1.361.3469.5%
BTTS – no3.203.0430.5%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 18/10/26, 12:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.1%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Vålerenga 1–1 Brann, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Vålerenga 8th (32 points), Brann 7th (32 points).
  • H2H: 22 matches: Vålerenga 11W 3D 8L, goals 38–35.
  • Absences: Vålerenga 0, Brann 0.

Who will win Vålerenga vs Brann?

Vålerenga42%
Draw24%
Brann34%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Vålerenga vs Brann: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals86.0% · fair odds 1.16 · best 1.12
Likely
BTTS – yes69.5% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.36
Likely
Over 2.5 goals68.6% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.40
Likely
Vålerenga or draw (1X)66.1% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.50
Likely
Under 3.5 goals50.8% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.89
Possible
Over 3.5 goals49.2% · fair odds 2.03 · best 1.99
Outsider
Vålerenga to win42.1% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.30
Outsider
Brann to win33.9% · fair odds 2.95 · best 2.89
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals31.4% · fair odds 3.19 · best 3.10
Outsider
BTTS – no30.5% · fair odds 3.28 · best 3.20
Outsider
Draw24.0% · fair odds 4.17 · best 4.05
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 11.5 corners
Over 1.75 · Under 1.96
probability of over 52.8%

Correct score prediction

1 : 19.2%
2 : 18.5%
1 : 27.6%
2 : 27.0%
1 : 05.6%
3 : 15.3%

Vålerenga vs Brann: team news and absences

Vålerenga

  • No reported absences

Brann

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Viking2519-2-464:2659
2Bodø/Glimt2519-2-461:2359
3Molde2513-4-859:3943
4Rosenborg2513-4-849:3143
5Lillestrøm2513-3-936:3342
6Tromsø2511-7-743:3840
7Brann2510-2-1345:4232
8Vålerenga259-5-1143:4632
9Sarpsborg 08 FF258-7-1032:3931
10KFUM Oslo258-7-1032:4131
11Fredrikstad258-5-1229:4429
12Sandefjord257-6-1226:3427
13Ham-Kam257-6-1235:5327
14Aalesund255-9-1143:5724
15Kristiansund BK256-5-1429:5123
16Start255-4-1626:5519

Recent matches

Vålerenga

1 NovWVålerenga 4–0 Tromsø
24 OctWBodø/Glimt 0–1 Vålerenga
18 OctWVålerenga 3–1 Brann
12 OctLKFUM Oslo 2–1 Vålerenga
20 SeptDVålerenga 1–1 Fredrikstad

Brann

1 NovWBrann 3–2 Molde
25 OctLLillestrøm 3–2 Brann
22 OctWKauno Žalgiris 1–4 Brann
18 OctLVålerenga 3–1 Brann
15 OctWBrann 2–1 Lincoln Red Imps FC

Home and away

Vålerenga at home13 matches: 6W 2D 5L, goals 27–20
Brann away12 matches: 3W 2D 7L, goals 22–22

Head to head

All matches
11Vålerenga
3Draws
8Brann
18/10/26 · Vålerenga 3–1 Brann
26/7/26 · Brann 2–3 Vålerenga
13/9/25 · Brann 3–2 Vålerenga
3/5/25 · Vålerenga 2–4 Brann
22/3/25 · Brann 2–1 Vålerenga
27/2/24 · Brann 3–0 Vålerenga

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.1%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Vålerenga vs Brann?

Vålerenga or draw (1X) (1.50); Under 3.5 goals (1.89).

Who will win Vålerenga vs Brann?

We estimate: Vålerenga win 42%, draw 24%, Brann win 34%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 18 October 2026, kick-off: 16:00, venue: Intility Arena, Oslo. Referee: Rohit Saggi.

Who will be missing?

Vålerenga: no absences. Brann: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 69% (odds 1.40); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 31% (odds 3.10).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 69% (odds 1.36).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (9.2%), then 2–1 (8.5%) and 1–2 (7.6%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Kristiansund BK vs Vålerenga 7 NovRosenborg vs Start 7 NovTromsø vs Bodø/Glimt 8 NovLillestrøm vs Aalesund 8 NovSandefjord vs Molde 8 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.