Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lillestrøm v Brann: 25 October 2026 · 16:00 at Åråsen Stadion (Lillestrøm), with Mohammad Usman Aslam refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Lillestrøm vs Brann: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Lillestrøm are 5th in the table, on 42 points after 25 matches (13W 3D 9L), and Brann are 7th, on 32 points (10W 2D 13L).
- Attack and defence. On average Lillestrøm score 1.4 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.3; for Brann the figures are 1.7 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Lillestrøm: 11W 3D 9L, goals 32–31; Brann: 9W 2D 12L, goals 40–37.
- Head to head. From 17 meetings: 4 wins for Lillestrøm, 9 wins for Brann and 4 draws, with the goals at 17–28.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (9.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.88), and we rate it at 52%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 68% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 68% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 17; Lillestrøm 4 wins, 4 draws, Brann 9 wins.
- An average of 2.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Lillestrøm 32–31, Brann 40–37.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 68%.
- Out: Lillestrøm 2, Brann 5.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals (probability 48%, best price 2.05). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Lillestrøm: C. Jebara, E. B. Garnas. Absent for Brann: N. Boakye, K. Kjartansson, U. Mathisen, S. Opsahl, J. Sorensen. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Lillestrøm vs Brann: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.35 | 3.96 | 2.84 |
| Market average | 2.27 | 3.80 | 2.75 |
| Lowest odds | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.63 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.10 | 85.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.39 | 67.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.88 | 32.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.05 | 1.97 | 47.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.35 | 68.4% |
| BTTS – no | 3.10 | 2.94 | 31.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 12:04. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Lillestrøm 1–1 Brann, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Lillestrøm 5th (42 points), Brann 7th (32 points).
- Form in the competition: Lillestrøm 11W 3D 9L (32:31), Brann 9W 2D 12L (40:37).
- H2H: 17 matches: Lillestrøm 4W 4D 9L, goals 17–28.
- Absences: Lillestrøm 2, Brann 5.
Who will win Lillestrøm vs Brann?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Lillestrøm vs Brann: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Lillestrøm vs Brann: team news and absences
Lillestrøm
- C. Jebarainjury · will miss the match
- E. B. Garnasknee injury · doubtful
Brann
- N. Boakyeknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Kjartanssonknee injury · will miss the match
- U. Mathisenfoot injury · will miss the match
- S. Opsahlfoot injury · will miss the match
- J. Sorensenabsence · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 | Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 | Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Lillestrøm
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
LillestrømWWWDLBrannWLLLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Lillestrøm vs Brann?
Under 3.5 goals (1.88); Lillestrøm or draw (1X) (1.47).
Who will win Lillestrøm vs Brann?
We estimate: Lillestrøm win 41%, draw 25%, Brann win 34%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 16:00, venue: Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrøm. Referee: Mohammad Usman Aslam.
Who will be missing?
Lillestrøm: C. Jebara, E. B. Garnas. Brann: N. Boakye, K. Kjartansson, U. Mathisen, S. Opsahl, J. Sorensen. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 68% (odds 1.42); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 32% (odds 3.10).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 68% (odds 1.40).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (9.4%), then 2–1 (8.5%) and 1–2 (7.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.