Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Virtus Entella play Avellino at home on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stadio Comunale (Chiavari); the referee is Simone Galipò. For us, Virtus Entella (45%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Virtus Entella vs Avellino: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Virtus Entella are 14th in the table, on 10 points after 10 matches (2W 4D 4L), and Avellino are 5th, on 15 points (4W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. On average Virtus Entella score 1.3 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.1; for Avellino the figures are 1.5 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Virtus Entella: 2W 3D 3L, goals 10–9; Avellino: 3W 2D 3L, goals 12–9.
- Head to head. From 8 meetings: 1 win for Virtus Entella, 2 wins for Avellino and 5 draws, with the goals at 8–9.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.7%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
What stands out is that the table favours the Avellino, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.72), and we rate it at 56%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 50% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 44% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 8; Virtus Entella 1 win, 5 draws, Avellino 2 wins.
- An average of 2.1 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Virtus Entella 10–9, Avellino 12–9.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 44%.
- Out: Virtus Entella 0, Avellino 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – no
Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 50%, best price 1.91). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Virtus Entella: no absences. Absent for Avellino: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Virtus Entella vs Avellino: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.12 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| Market average | 2.05 | 3.17 | 3.67 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 2.96 | 3.17 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.34 | 69.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.24 | 2.13 | 44.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.68 | 55.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.05 | 3.76 | 24.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.86 | 49.9% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.85 | 50.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Virtus Entella 1–1 Avellino, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Virtus Entella 14th (10 points), Avellino 5th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Virtus Entella 2W 3D 3L (10:9), Avellino 3W 2D 3L (12:9).
- H2H: 8 matches: Virtus Entella 1W 5D 2L, goals 8–9.
- Absences: Virtus Entella 0, Avellino 0.
Who will win Virtus Entella vs Avellino?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Virtus Entella vs Avellino: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Virtus Entella vs Avellino: team news and absences
Virtus Entella
- No reported absences
Avellino
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 | Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Virtus Entella
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Virtus EntellaLDLWDAvellinoWDLDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Virtus Entella vs Avellino?
Draw or Avellino (X2) (1.80); Under 2.5 goals (1.72).
Who will win Virtus Entella vs Avellino?
We estimate: Virtus Entella win 45%, draw 29%, Avellino win 25%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 19:00, venue: Stadio Comunale, Chiavari. Referee: Simone Galipò.
Who will be missing?
Virtus Entella: no absences. Avellino: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.24); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 56% (odds 1.72).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 50% (odds 1.95).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.7%), then 1–0 (12.7%) and 0–1 (9.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.