Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Avellino v Padova: 24 October 2026 · 14:00 at Partenio-Adriano Lombardi (Avellino), with Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi, Italy refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Avellino vs Padova: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Avellino are 5th in the table, on 15 points after 10 matches (4W 3D 3L), and Padova are 9th, on 14 points (4W 2D 4L).
- Head to head. From 6 meetings: 1 win for Avellino, 3 wins for Padova and 2 draws, with the goals at 4–6.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.7%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.74), and we rate it at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 51% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 45% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 6; Avellino 1 win, 2 draws, Padova 3 wins.
- An average of 1.7 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 45%.
- Out: Avellino 0, Padova 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 51%, best price 1.91). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Avellino: no absences. Absent for Padova: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Avellino vs Padova: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.76 |
| Market average | 2.16 | 3.16 | 3.45 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.32 | 70.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.09 | 45.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.71 | 54.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.91 | 3.64 | 25.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.81 | 51.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.92 | 48.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 11:23. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Avellino 1–1 Padova, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Avellino 5th (15 points), Padova 9th (14 points).
- H2H: 6 matches: Avellino 1W 2D 3L, goals 4–6.
- Absences: Avellino 0, Padova 0.
Who will win Avellino vs Padova?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Avellino vs Padova: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Avellino vs Padova: team news and absences
Avellino
- No reported absences
Padova
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 | Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Avellino vs Padova?
Both teams to score (1.91); Avellino or draw (1X) (1.35).
Who will win Avellino vs Padova?
We estimate: Avellino win 43%, draw 30%, Padova win 27%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino. Referee: Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Avellino: no absences. Padova: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.18); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 55% (odds 1.74).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 51% (odds 1.91).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.7%), then 1–0 (12.1%) and 0–1 (9.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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