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Championship · Matchweek 11 · 17 October 2026 · 15:00

West Brom vs Blackburn: prediction, tip and odds, 17 October 2026, Championship

3–2
1West Brom1.96
XDraw3.65
2Blackburn4.10

Best price · Updated 17/10/26, 12:01

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Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

West Brom play Blackburn at home on 17 October 2026 · 15:00 at The Hawthorns (West Bromwich); the referee is Adam Herczeg, England. For us, West Brom (49%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.

West Brom vs Blackburn: tip and prediction
Handicap
West Brom -0.25 (Asian handicap)
1.70
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.78
58%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: West Brom or draw (1X): 76% probability, best odds 1.25.

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West Brom vs Blackburn: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. West Brom are 6th in the table, on 25 points after 14 matches (7W 4D 3L), and Blackburn are 14th, on 18 points (5W 3D 6L).

What to expect

For us, West Brom are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (12.1%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.

In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.78), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 50% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 46% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 46%.
  2. Out: West Brom 0, Blackburn 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 50%, best price 1.85). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for West Brom: no absences. Absent for Blackburn: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

West Brom vs Blackburn: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.963.654.10
Market average1.903.513.95
Lowest odds1.853.403.80
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.361.3170.8%
Over 2.5 goals2.132.0346.5%
Under 2.5 goals1.781.7653.5%
Over 3.5 goals3.853.5426.3%
BTTS – yes1.851.8350.4%
BTTS – no1.881.8649.6%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 17/10/26, 12:01. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.5%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: West Brom 1–1 Blackburn, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: West Brom 6th (25 points), Blackburn 14th (18 points).
  • Absences: West Brom 0, Blackburn 0.

Who will win West Brom vs Blackburn?

West Brom49%
Draw27%
Blackburn24%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

West Brom vs Blackburn: more betting tips

West Brom or draw (1X)76.2% · fair odds 1.31 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals73.7% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.28
Likely
Over 1.5 goals70.8% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.36
Likely
Under 2.5 goals53.5% · fair odds 1.87 · best 1.78
Possible
BTTS – yes50.4% · fair odds 1.98 · best 1.85
Possible
BTTS – no49.6% · fair odds 2.02 · best 1.88
Outsider
West Brom to win49.4% · fair odds 2.02 · best 1.96
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals46.5% · fair odds 2.15 · best 2.13
Outsider
Draw26.8% · fair odds 3.73 · best 3.65
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals26.3% · fair odds 3.80 · best 3.85
Outsider
Blackburn to win23.8% · fair odds 4.20 · best 4.10
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.99 · Under 1.75
probability of over 46.8%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.79 · Under 1.95
probability of over 52.0%

Correct score prediction

1 : 112.1%
1 : 012.1%
2 : 19.4%
2 : 09.4%
0 : 17.8%
0 : 07.8%

West Brom vs Blackburn: team news and absences

West Brom

  • No reported absences

Blackburn

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Middlesbrough148-4-230:1928
2Wolves148-3-325:1727
3Birmingham147-5-226:1326
4Stoke City148-2-422:1726
5Swansea148-2-421:1626
6West Brom147-4-320:1525
7Southampton148-4-229:1424
8West Ham146-5-336:2123
9Sheffield United146-4-420:1722
10Portsmouth146-4-419:1622
11QPR145-6-322:1721
12Norwich146-0-827:2418
13Millwall145-3-623:2418
14Blackburn145-3-620:2218
15Bristol City145-3-616:1918
16Wrexham144-5-517:1917
17Bolton145-2-719:2617
18Cardiff143-6-522:2315
19Lincoln144-3-714:2415
20Watford144-2-813:2314
21Charlton143-5-611:2214
22Burnley141-7-618:2610
23Derby141-4-911:297
24Preston141-2-1112:305

Recent matches

West Brom

3 NovDWest Brom 1–1 Southampton
31 OctWWest Ham 1–3 West Brom
24 OctDPreston 1–1 West Brom
17 OctWWest Brom 3–2 Blackburn
13 OctWWrexham 1–2 West Brom

Blackburn

3 NovLBlackburn 1–2 Stoke City
31 OctLSwansea 4–0 Blackburn
24 OctWBlackburn 2–0 Wrexham
17 OctLWest Brom 3–2 Blackburn
13 OctWBristol City 0–1 Blackburn

Home and away

West Brom at home7 matches: 3W 3D 1L, goals 10–7
Blackburn away7 matches: 1W 3D 3L, goals 8–13

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.5%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for West Brom vs Blackburn?

West Brom -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.70); Under 2.5 goals (1.78).

Who will win West Brom vs Blackburn?

We estimate: West Brom win 49%, draw 27%, Blackburn win 24%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 17 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: The Hawthorns, West Bromwich. Referee: Adam Herczeg, England.

Who will be missing?

West Brom: no absences. Blackburn: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.13); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 54% (odds 1.78).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 50% (odds 1.85).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.1%), then 1–0 (12.1%) and 2–1 (9.4%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Derby vs Bolton 6 NovBristol City vs Norwich 7 NovPortsmouth vs Stoke City 7 NovWrexham vs Wolves 7 NovWatford vs Middlesbrough 7 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.